Palo Alto Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 501.07

PANW
 Stock
  

USD 501.07  0.30  0.06%   

Palo Alto's future price is the expected price of Palo Alto instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Palo Alto Networks performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Palo Alto Price to Book Value is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Palo Alto reported Price to Book Value of 12.34 in 2021. Price to Sales Ratio is likely to climb to 9.51 in 2022, whereas Price to Earnings Ratio are likely to drop (240.52)  in 2022.
  
Palo Alto's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Palo Alto Networks. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Palo Alto based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Palo Alto Networks over a specific time period. For example, 2022-08-12 CALL at $500.0 is a CALL option contract on Palo Alto's common stock with a strick price of 500.0 expiring on 2022-08-12. The contract was last traded on 2022-08-05 at 15:59:41 for $10.8 and, as of today, has 4 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $10.3, and an ask price of $10.8. The implied volatility as of the 8th of August is 36.102. View All Palo Alto options

Closest to current price Palo Alto long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please check Palo Alto Backtesting, Palo Alto Valuation, Palo Alto Correlation, Palo Alto Hype Analysis, Palo Alto Volatility, Palo Alto History as well as Palo Alto Performance. Please specify Palo Alto time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Palo Alto odds to be computed.

Palo Alto Target Price Odds to finish over 501.07

The tendency of Palo Alto Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 501.07 90 days 501.07 
about 44.19
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Palo Alto to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 44.19 (This Palo Alto Networks probability density function shows the probability of Palo Alto Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.59 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Palo Alto will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Palo Alto Networks is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Palo Alto Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Palo Alto

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Palo Alto Networks. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Palo Alto's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Palo Alto in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
499.66502.74505.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
450.96543.92547.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
500.59503.67506.75
Details
29 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
480.00605.37700.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Palo Alto. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Palo Alto's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Palo Alto's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Palo Alto Networks.

Palo Alto Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Palo Alto is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Palo Alto's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Palo Alto Networks, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Palo Alto within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.01
β
Beta against DOW1.59
σ
Overall volatility
20.95
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Palo Alto Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Palo Alto for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Palo Alto Networks can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Palo Alto Networks has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company currently holds 3.95 B in liabilities. Palo Alto Networks has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Palo Alto until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Palo Alto's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Palo Alto Networks sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Palo Alto to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Palo Alto's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 5.17 B. Net Loss for the year was (389.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.98 B.
Palo Alto Networks has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.nasdaq.com: Cybersecurity Stock Sell-off Holding Back Nasdaq, but 1 Tech Stock Is Surging - Nasdaq

Palo Alto Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Palo Alto Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Palo Alto's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Palo Alto's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out7.29%
Short Percent Of Float7.42%
Float Shares97.84M
Shares Short Prior Month7.45M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.27M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.62M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022

Palo Alto Technical Analysis

Palo Alto's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Palo Alto Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Palo Alto Networks. In general, you should focus on analyzing Palo Alto Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Palo Alto Predictive Forecast Models

Palo Alto time-series forecasting models is one of many Palo Alto's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Palo Alto's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Palo Alto Networks

Checking the ongoing alerts about Palo Alto for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Palo Alto Networks help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Palo Alto Alerts

Palo Alto Alerts and Suggestions

Palo Alto Networks has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company currently holds 3.95 B in liabilities. Palo Alto Networks has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Palo Alto until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Palo Alto's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Palo Alto Networks sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Palo Alto to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Palo Alto's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 5.17 B. Net Loss for the year was (389.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.98 B.
Palo Alto Networks has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.nasdaq.com: Cybersecurity Stock Sell-off Holding Back Nasdaq, but 1 Tech Stock Is Surging - Nasdaq
Please check Palo Alto Backtesting, Palo Alto Valuation, Palo Alto Correlation, Palo Alto Hype Analysis, Palo Alto Volatility, Palo Alto History as well as Palo Alto Performance. Note that the Palo Alto Networks information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Palo Alto's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.

Complementary Tools for Palo Alto Stock analysis

When running Palo Alto Networks price analysis, check to measure Palo Alto's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Palo Alto is operating at the current time. Most of Palo Alto's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Palo Alto's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Palo Alto's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Palo Alto to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Palo Alto's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Palo Alto. If investors know Palo Alto will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Palo Alto listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
50.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.29
Return On Assets
-0.014
Return On Equity
-0.58
The market value of Palo Alto Networks is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Palo Alto that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Palo Alto's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Palo Alto's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Palo Alto's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Palo Alto's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Palo Alto's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Palo Alto value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Palo Alto's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.