Oliveda OTC Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0678

OLVI
 Stock
  

USD 0.07  0.0002  0.29%   

Oliveda International's future price is the expected price of Oliveda International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Oliveda International performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please check Oliveda International Backtesting, Oliveda International Valuation, Oliveda International Correlation, Oliveda International Hype Analysis, Oliveda International Volatility, Oliveda International History as well as Oliveda International Performance. Please specify Oliveda International time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Oliveda International odds to be computed.

Oliveda International Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0678

The tendency of Oliveda OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.07 90 days 0.07 
about 16.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oliveda International to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 16.13 (This Oliveda International probability density function shows the probability of Oliveda OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Oliveda International has a beta of 0.38. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Oliveda International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Oliveda International will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.907, implying that it can generate a 0.91 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Oliveda International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Oliveda International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oliveda International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oliveda International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Oliveda International in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.000.0710.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.000.0610.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0012740.0610.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.070.070.07
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Oliveda International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Oliveda International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Oliveda International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Oliveda International.

Oliveda International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oliveda International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oliveda International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oliveda International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oliveda International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.91
β
Beta against DOW0.38
σ
Overall volatility
0.008392
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Oliveda International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oliveda International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oliveda International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oliveda International is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Oliveda International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Oliveda International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Oliveda International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from www.benzinga.com: OLIVEDA INTERNATIONAL INC by Oliveda International, Inc. Olive Tree People Inc. Announces The Next Big Thing - Waterless Holistic Beauty - Exclusive to 3,875 Spas in the U.S - Benzinga

Oliveda International Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Oliveda OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Oliveda International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oliveda International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day3.54k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month8.9k

Oliveda International Technical Analysis

Oliveda International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oliveda OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oliveda International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oliveda OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Oliveda International Predictive Forecast Models

Oliveda International time-series forecasting models is one of many Oliveda International's otc stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Oliveda International's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Oliveda International

Checking the ongoing alerts about Oliveda International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oliveda International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Oliveda International Alerts

Oliveda International Alerts and Suggestions

Oliveda International is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Oliveda International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Oliveda International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Oliveda International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from www.benzinga.com: OLIVEDA INTERNATIONAL INC by Oliveda International, Inc. Olive Tree People Inc. Announces The Next Big Thing - Waterless Holistic Beauty - Exclusive to 3,875 Spas in the U.S - Benzinga

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Oliveda International price analysis, check to measure Oliveda International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oliveda International is operating at the current time. Most of Oliveda International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oliveda International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oliveda International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oliveda International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Oliveda International's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Oliveda International. If investors know Oliveda will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Oliveda International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Oliveda International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Oliveda that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Oliveda International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Oliveda International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Oliveda International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Oliveda International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Oliveda International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Oliveda International value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oliveda International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.