Oceaneering Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.85

OII
 Stock
  

USD 14.85  0.12  0.81%   

Oceaneering International's future price is the expected price of Oceaneering International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Oceaneering International performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Oceaneering International Price to Book Value is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. The preceding year's Price to Book Value was reported at 1.24. The current Price to Sales Ratio is estimated to increase to 1.00, while Price to Earnings Ratio are projected to decrease to (3.91) .
  
Oceaneering International's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Oceaneering International. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Oceaneering International based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Oceaneering International over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $15.0 is a CALL option contract on Oceaneering International's common stock with a strick price of 15.0 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-11-23 at 10:05:13 for $0.7 and, as of today, has 18 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.5, and an ask price of $1.05. The implied volatility as of the 28th of November is 59.8737. View All Oceaneering options

Closest to current price Oceaneering long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please check Oceaneering International Backtesting, Oceaneering International Valuation, Oceaneering International Correlation, Oceaneering International Hype Analysis, Oceaneering International Volatility, Oceaneering International History as well as Oceaneering International Performance. Please specify Oceaneering International time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Oceaneering International odds to be computed.

Oceaneering International Target Price Odds to finish over 14.85

The tendency of Oceaneering Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 14.85 90 days 14.85 
about 5.19
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oceaneering International to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.19 (This Oceaneering International probability density function shows the probability of Oceaneering Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.76 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Oceaneering International will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.6246, implying that it can generate a 0.62 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Oceaneering International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Oceaneering International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oceaneering International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oceaneering International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Oceaneering International in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
10.4714.9719.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
12.9517.4521.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.9114.4018.90
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
16.5017.3819.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Oceaneering International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Oceaneering International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Oceaneering International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Oceaneering International.

Oceaneering International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oceaneering International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oceaneering International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oceaneering International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oceaneering International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.62
β
Beta against DOW1.76
σ
Overall volatility
2.52
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Oceaneering International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oceaneering International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oceaneering International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oceaneering International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the last year's revenue of 2 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (36 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 264.06 M.
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Oceaneering International Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Oceaneering Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Oceaneering International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oceaneering International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out4.39%
Short Percent Of Float6.36%
Float Shares99.52M
Shares Short Prior Month3.9M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.04M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.26M
Date Short Interest14th of October 2022

Oceaneering International Technical Analysis

Oceaneering International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oceaneering Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oceaneering International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oceaneering Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Oceaneering International Predictive Forecast Models

Oceaneering International time-series forecasting models is one of many Oceaneering International's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Oceaneering International's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Oceaneering International

Checking the ongoing alerts about Oceaneering International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oceaneering International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oceaneering International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the last year's revenue of 2 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (36 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 264.06 M.
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Oceaneering International price analysis, check to measure Oceaneering International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oceaneering International is operating at the current time. Most of Oceaneering International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oceaneering International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oceaneering International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oceaneering International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Oceaneering International's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Oceaneering International. If investors know Oceaneering will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Oceaneering International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.38) 
Market Capitalization
1.5 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.2
Return On Assets
0.018
Return On Equity
(0.07) 
The market value of Oceaneering International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Oceaneering that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Oceaneering International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Oceaneering International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Oceaneering International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Oceaneering International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Oceaneering International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Oceaneering International value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oceaneering International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.