Jpmorgan Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 14.48

OGBCX
 Fund
  

USD 14.48  0.01  0.07%   

Jpmorgan Investor's future price is the expected price of Jpmorgan Investor instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jpmorgan Investor Balanced performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please check Jpmorgan Investor Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Jpmorgan Investor Correlation, Jpmorgan Investor Hype Analysis, Jpmorgan Investor Volatility, Jpmorgan Investor History as well as Jpmorgan Investor Performance. Please specify Jpmorgan Investor time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Jpmorgan Investor odds to be computed.

Jpmorgan Investor Target Price Odds to finish over 14.48

The tendency of Jpmorgan Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 14.48 90 days 14.48 
about 11.2
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jpmorgan Investor to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 11.2 (This Jpmorgan Investor Balanced probability density function shows the probability of Jpmorgan Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Jpmorgan Investor has a beta of 0.6. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Jpmorgan Investor average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Jpmorgan Investor Balanced will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Jpmorgan Investor is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Jpmorgan Investor Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jpmorgan Investor

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jpmorgan Investor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jpmorgan Investor's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Jpmorgan Investor in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
13.5814.4815.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
13.4714.3715.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
13.7214.6215.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.2214.3314.45
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jpmorgan Investor. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jpmorgan Investor's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jpmorgan Investor's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Jpmorgan Investor.

Jpmorgan Investor Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jpmorgan Investor is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jpmorgan Investor's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jpmorgan Investor Balanced, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jpmorgan Investor within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.07
β
Beta against DOW0.60
σ
Overall volatility
0.37
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Jpmorgan Investor Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jpmorgan Investor for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jpmorgan Investor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jpmorgan Investor generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Jpmorgan Investor is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
On 3rd of October 2022 Jpmorgan Investor paid $ 0.0346 per share dividend to its current shareholders
The fund maintains about 6.56% of its assets in cash

Jpmorgan Investor Technical Analysis

Jpmorgan Investor's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jpmorgan Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jpmorgan Investor Balanced. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jpmorgan Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jpmorgan Investor Predictive Forecast Models

Jpmorgan Investor time-series forecasting models is one of many Jpmorgan Investor's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Jpmorgan Investor's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jpmorgan Investor

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jpmorgan Investor for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jpmorgan Investor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jpmorgan Investor generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Jpmorgan Investor is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
On 3rd of October 2022 Jpmorgan Investor paid $ 0.0346 per share dividend to its current shareholders
The fund maintains about 6.56% of its assets in cash
Please check Jpmorgan Investor Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Jpmorgan Investor Correlation, Jpmorgan Investor Hype Analysis, Jpmorgan Investor Volatility, Jpmorgan Investor History as well as Jpmorgan Investor Performance. Note that the Jpmorgan Investor information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Jpmorgan Investor's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

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When running Jpmorgan Investor price analysis, check to measure Jpmorgan Investor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jpmorgan Investor is operating at the current time. Most of Jpmorgan Investor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jpmorgan Investor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jpmorgan Investor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jpmorgan Investor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Jpmorgan Investor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Jpmorgan Investor value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jpmorgan Investor's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.