Onion Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.2

OG
 Stock
  

USD 0.20  0.01  4.76%   

Onion Global's future price is the expected price of Onion Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Onion Global performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please check Onion Global Backtesting, Onion Global Valuation, Onion Global Correlation, Onion Global Hype Analysis, Onion Global Volatility, Onion Global History as well as Onion Global Performance. Please specify Onion Global time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Onion Global odds to be computed.

Onion Global Target Price Odds to finish over 0.2

The tendency of Onion Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.20 90 days 0.20 
about 88.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Onion Global to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.49 (This Onion Global probability density function shows the probability of Onion Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Onion Global has a beta of 0.36. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Onion Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Onion Global will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Onion Global is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Onion Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Onion Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Onion Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Onion Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Onion Global in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.010.216.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.010.196.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0036710.186.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.190.230.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Onion Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Onion Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Onion Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Onion Global.

Onion Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Onion Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Onion Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Onion Global, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Onion Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-1.35
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.36
σ
Overall volatility
0.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

Onion Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Onion Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Onion Global can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Onion Global generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Onion Global has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Onion Global has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company generated the yearly revenue of 2.56 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (356.22 M) with gross profit of 521.58 M.
Onion Global reports about 288.05 M in cash with (582.88 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.84, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Onion Seeds Market Analysis by Current Industry Status and Growth Opportunities, Top Key Players, Target Audie - openPR

Onion Global Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Onion Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Onion Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Onion Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding89248810.00
Cash And Short Term Investments288048000.00

Onion Global Technical Analysis

Onion Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Onion Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Onion Global. In general, you should focus on analyzing Onion Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Onion Global Predictive Forecast Models

Onion Global time-series forecasting models is one of many Onion Global's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Onion Global's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Onion Global

Checking the ongoing alerts about Onion Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Onion Global help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Onion Global generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Onion Global has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Onion Global has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company generated the yearly revenue of 2.56 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (356.22 M) with gross profit of 521.58 M.
Onion Global reports about 288.05 M in cash with (582.88 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.84, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Onion Seeds Market Analysis by Current Industry Status and Growth Opportunities, Top Key Players, Target Audie - openPR
Please check Onion Global Backtesting, Onion Global Valuation, Onion Global Correlation, Onion Global Hype Analysis, Onion Global Volatility, Onion Global History as well as Onion Global Performance. Note that the Onion Global information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Onion Global's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

Complementary Tools for Onion Stock analysis

When running Onion Global price analysis, check to measure Onion Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Onion Global is operating at the current time. Most of Onion Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Onion Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Onion Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Onion Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Onion Global's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Onion Global. If investors know Onion will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Onion Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.99) 
Market Capitalization
21.1 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.46) 
Return On Assets
(0.19) 
Return On Equity
(0.49) 
The market value of Onion Global is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Onion that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Onion Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Onion Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Onion Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Onion Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Onion Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Onion Global value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Onion Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.