Oracle OTC Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 54.49

OCLCF
 Stock
  

USD 57.31  0.00  0.00%   

Oracle Corp's future price is the expected price of Oracle Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Oracle Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please check Oracle Corp Backtesting, Oracle Corp Valuation, Oracle Corp Correlation, Oracle Corp Hype Analysis, Oracle Corp Volatility, Oracle Corp History as well as Oracle Corp Performance. Please specify Oracle Corp time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Oracle Corp odds to be computed.

Oracle Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 54.49

The tendency of Oracle OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 54.49  in 90 days
 57.31 90 days 54.49 
about 83.25
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oracle Corp to stay above $ 54.49  in 90 days from now is about 83.25 (This Oracle Corp probability density function shows the probability of Oracle OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oracle Corp price to stay between $ 54.49  and its current price of $57.31 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.56 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Oracle Corp has a beta of 0.0945. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Oracle Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Oracle Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Oracle Corp is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Oracle Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Oracle Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oracle Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oracle Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Oracle Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
56.4657.3158.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
55.6856.5357.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
57.0257.8858.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
54.6556.3858.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Oracle Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Oracle Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Oracle Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Oracle Corp.

Oracle Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oracle Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oracle Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oracle Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oracle Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.01
β
Beta against DOW0.09
σ
Overall volatility
1.40
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Oracle Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oracle Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oracle Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has a current ratio of 0.66, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Oracle Corp until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Oracle Corp's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Oracle Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Oracle to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Oracle Corp's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Oracle Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Oracle OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Oracle Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oracle Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate149.00
Float Shares33.24M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day10
Average Daily Volume In Three Month9
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield259.99%

Oracle Corp Technical Analysis

Oracle Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oracle OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oracle Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oracle OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Oracle Corp Predictive Forecast Models

Oracle Corp time-series forecasting models is one of many Oracle Corp's otc stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Oracle Corp's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Oracle Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Oracle Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oracle Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has a current ratio of 0.66, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Oracle Corp until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Oracle Corp's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Oracle Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Oracle to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Oracle Corp's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Please check Oracle Corp Backtesting, Oracle Corp Valuation, Oracle Corp Correlation, Oracle Corp Hype Analysis, Oracle Corp Volatility, Oracle Corp History as well as Oracle Corp Performance. Note that the Oracle Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Oracle Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Analyst Recommendations module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

Complementary Tools for Oracle OTC Stock analysis

When running Oracle Corp price analysis, check to measure Oracle Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oracle Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Oracle Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oracle Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oracle Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oracle Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Oracle Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Oracle Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oracle Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.