Oracle Pink Sheet Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 53.13

OCLCF
 Stock
  

USD 59.58  0.27  0.46%   

Oracle Japan's future price is the expected price of Oracle Japan instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Oracle Japan performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please check Oracle Japan Backtesting, Oracle Japan Valuation, Oracle Japan Correlation, Oracle Japan Hype Analysis, Oracle Japan Volatility, Oracle Japan History as well as Oracle Japan Performance. Please specify Oracle Japan time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Oracle Japan odds to be computed.

Oracle Japan Target Price Odds to finish below 53.13

The tendency of Oracle Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 53.13  or more in 90 days
 59.58 90 days 53.13 
nearly 4.15
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oracle Japan to drop to $ 53.13  or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.15 (This Oracle Japan probability density function shows the probability of Oracle Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oracle Japan price to stay between $ 53.13  and its current price of $59.58 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Oracle Japan has a beta of 0.0193. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Oracle Japan average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Oracle Japan will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0527, implying that it can generate a 0.0527 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Oracle Japan Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Oracle Japan

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oracle Japan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oracle Japan's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Oracle Japan in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
58.6259.5860.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
53.6265.8166.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
59.3860.3461.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
54.8457.5260.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Oracle Japan. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Oracle Japan's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Oracle Japan's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Oracle Japan.

Oracle Japan Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oracle Japan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oracle Japan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oracle Japan, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oracle Japan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.05
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.0193
σ
Overall volatility
1.67
Ir
Information ratio -0.0029

Oracle Japan Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oracle Japan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oracle Japan can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has a current ratio of 0.66, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Oracle Japan until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Oracle Japan's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Oracle Japan sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Oracle to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Oracle Japan's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Oracle Japan Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Oracle Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Oracle Japan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oracle Japan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding128138471.00

Oracle Japan Technical Analysis

Oracle Japan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oracle Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oracle Japan. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oracle Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Oracle Japan Predictive Forecast Models

Oracle Japan time-series forecasting models is one of many Oracle Japan's pink sheet analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Oracle Japan's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Oracle Japan

Checking the ongoing alerts about Oracle Japan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oracle Japan help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has a current ratio of 0.66, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Oracle Japan until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Oracle Japan's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Oracle Japan sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Oracle to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Oracle Japan's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Please check Oracle Japan Backtesting, Oracle Japan Valuation, Oracle Japan Correlation, Oracle Japan Hype Analysis, Oracle Japan Volatility, Oracle Japan History as well as Oracle Japan Performance. Note that the Oracle Japan information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Oracle Japan's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

Complementary Tools for Oracle Pink Sheet analysis

When running Oracle Japan price analysis, check to measure Oracle Japan's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oracle Japan is operating at the current time. Most of Oracle Japan's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oracle Japan's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oracle Japan's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oracle Japan to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Oracle Japan's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Oracle Japan value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oracle Japan's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.