Oberweis Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 19.73

OBSOX
 Fund
  

USD 19.73  0.37  1.84%   

Oberweis Small-Cap's future price is the expected price of Oberweis Small-Cap instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Oberweis Small-Cap Opportunities performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please check Oberweis Small-Cap Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Oberweis Small-Cap Correlation, Oberweis Small-Cap Hype Analysis, Oberweis Small-Cap Volatility, Oberweis Small-Cap History as well as Oberweis Small-Cap Performance. Please specify Oberweis Small-Cap time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Oberweis Small-Cap odds to be computed.

Oberweis Small-Cap Target Price Odds to finish over 19.73

The tendency of Oberweis Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 19.73 90 days 19.73 
roughly 2.28
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oberweis Small-Cap to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.28 (This Oberweis Small-Cap Opportunities probability density function shows the probability of Oberweis Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Oberweis Small-Cap has a beta of 0.0991. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Oberweis Small-Cap average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Oberweis Small-Cap Opportunities will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.214, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Oberweis Small-Cap Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Oberweis Small-Cap

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oberweis Small-Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oberweis Small-Cap's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Oberweis Small-Cap in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.000.002.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.112.234.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Oberweis Small-Cap. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Oberweis Small-Cap's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Oberweis Small-Cap's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Oberweis Small-Cap.

Oberweis Small-Cap Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oberweis Small-Cap is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oberweis Small-Cap's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oberweis Small-Cap Opportunities, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oberweis Small-Cap within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.21
β
Beta against DOW0.1
σ
Overall volatility
1.00
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Oberweis Small-Cap Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oberweis Small-Cap for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oberweis Small-Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 92.82% of its assets in stocks

Oberweis Small-Cap Technical Analysis

Oberweis Small-Cap's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oberweis Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oberweis Small-Cap Opportunities. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oberweis Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Oberweis Small-Cap Predictive Forecast Models

Oberweis Small-Cap time-series forecasting models is one of many Oberweis Small-Cap's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Oberweis Small-Cap's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Oberweis Small-Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Oberweis Small-Cap for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oberweis Small-Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Oberweis Small-Cap Alerts

Oberweis Small-Cap Alerts and Suggestions

The fund maintains 92.82% of its assets in stocks
Please check Oberweis Small-Cap Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Oberweis Small-Cap Correlation, Oberweis Small-Cap Hype Analysis, Oberweis Small-Cap Volatility, Oberweis Small-Cap History as well as Oberweis Small-Cap Performance. Note that the Oberweis Small-Cap information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Oberweis Small-Cap's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Complementary Tools for Oberweis Mutual Fund analysis

When running Oberweis Small-Cap price analysis, check to measure Oberweis Small-Cap's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oberweis Small-Cap is operating at the current time. Most of Oberweis Small-Cap's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oberweis Small-Cap's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oberweis Small-Cap's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oberweis Small-Cap to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Oberweis Small-Cap's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Oberweis Small-Cap value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oberweis Small-Cap's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.