Oakmark Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 104.63

OAZMX
 Fund
  

USD 108.44  1.56  1.46%   

Oakmark Fund's future price is the expected price of Oakmark Fund instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Oakmark Fund R6 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please check Oakmark Fund Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Oakmark Fund Correlation, Oakmark Fund Hype Analysis, Oakmark Fund Volatility, Oakmark Fund History as well as Oakmark Fund Performance. Please specify Oakmark Fund time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Oakmark Fund odds to be computed.

Oakmark Fund Target Price Odds to finish below 104.63

The tendency of Oakmark Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 104.63  or more in 90 days
 108.44 90 days 104.63 
about 70.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oakmark Fund to drop to $ 104.63  or more in 90 days from now is about 70.13 (This Oakmark Fund R6 probability density function shows the probability of Oakmark Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oakmark Fund R6 price to stay between $ 104.63  and its current price of $108.44 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.98 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Oakmark Fund has a beta of 0.02. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Oakmark Fund average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Oakmark Fund R6 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Oakmark Fund R6 is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Oakmark Fund Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Oakmark Fund

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oakmark Fund R6. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oakmark Fund's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Oakmark Fund in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
106.59108.44110.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
104.90106.75108.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
107.80109.65111.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
99.67104.45109.22
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Oakmark Fund. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Oakmark Fund's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Oakmark Fund's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Oakmark Fund R6.

Oakmark Fund Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oakmark Fund is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oakmark Fund's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oakmark Fund R6, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oakmark Fund within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.03
β
Beta against DOW0.02
σ
Overall volatility
4.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Oakmark Fund Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oakmark Fund for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oakmark Fund R6 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oakmark Fund R6 is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund maintains 94.58% of its assets in stocks

Oakmark Fund Technical Analysis

Oakmark Fund's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oakmark Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oakmark Fund R6. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oakmark Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Oakmark Fund Predictive Forecast Models

Oakmark Fund time-series forecasting models is one of many Oakmark Fund's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Oakmark Fund's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Oakmark Fund R6

Checking the ongoing alerts about Oakmark Fund for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oakmark Fund R6 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oakmark Fund R6 is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund maintains 94.58% of its assets in stocks
Please check Oakmark Fund Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Oakmark Fund Correlation, Oakmark Fund Hype Analysis, Oakmark Fund Volatility, Oakmark Fund History as well as Oakmark Fund Performance. You can also try Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Oakmark Fund R6 price analysis, check to measure Oakmark Fund's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oakmark Fund is operating at the current time. Most of Oakmark Fund's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oakmark Fund's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oakmark Fund's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oakmark Fund to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Oakmark Fund's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Oakmark Fund value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oakmark Fund's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.