Oakmark Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 102.66

OAYMX
 Fund
  

USD 93.73  1.16  1.22%   

Oakmark Fund's future price is the expected price of Oakmark Fund instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Oakmark Fund Advisor performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please check Oakmark Fund Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Oakmark Fund Correlation, Oakmark Fund Hype Analysis, Oakmark Fund Volatility, Oakmark Fund History as well as Oakmark Fund Performance. Please specify Oakmark Fund time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Oakmark Fund odds to be computed.

Oakmark Fund Target Price Odds to finish over 102.66

The tendency of Oakmark Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 102.66  or more in 90 days
 93.73 90 days 102.66 
about 47.44
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oakmark Fund to move over $ 102.66  or more in 90 days from now is about 47.44 (This Oakmark Fund Advisor probability density function shows the probability of Oakmark Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oakmark Fund Advisor price to stay between its current price of $ 93.73  and $ 102.66  at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.87 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.25 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Oakmark Fund will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0992, implying that it can generate a 0.0992 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Oakmark Fund Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Oakmark Fund

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oakmark Fund Advisor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oakmark Fund's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Oakmark Fund in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
93.3594.8996.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
85.4096.7598.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Oakmark Fund. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Oakmark Fund's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Oakmark Fund's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Oakmark Fund Advisor.

Oakmark Fund Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oakmark Fund is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oakmark Fund's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oakmark Fund Advisor, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oakmark Fund within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.1
β
Beta against DOW1.25
σ
Overall volatility
4.82
Ir
Information ratio 0.044515

Oakmark Fund Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oakmark Fund for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oakmark Fund Advisor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oakmark Fund Advisor generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Oakmark Fund Advisor is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund maintains about 7.75% of its assets in cash

Oakmark Fund Technical Analysis

Oakmark Fund's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oakmark Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oakmark Fund Advisor. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oakmark Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Oakmark Fund Predictive Forecast Models

Oakmark Fund time-series forecasting models is one of many Oakmark Fund's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Oakmark Fund's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Oakmark Fund Advisor

Checking the ongoing alerts about Oakmark Fund for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oakmark Fund Advisor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oakmark Fund Advisor generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Oakmark Fund Advisor is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund maintains about 7.75% of its assets in cash
Please check Oakmark Fund Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Oakmark Fund Correlation, Oakmark Fund Hype Analysis, Oakmark Fund Volatility, Oakmark Fund History as well as Oakmark Fund Performance. You can also try Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Oakmark Fund Advisor price analysis, check to measure Oakmark Fund's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oakmark Fund is operating at the current time. Most of Oakmark Fund's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oakmark Fund's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oakmark Fund's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oakmark Fund to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Oakmark Fund's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Oakmark Fund value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oakmark Fund's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.