OAT OTC Stock Chance of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 0.017

OATN
 Stock
  

USD 0.017  0.001  6.25%   

OAT's future price is the expected price of OAT instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of OAT Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please check OAT Backtesting, OAT Valuation, OAT Correlation, OAT Hype Analysis, OAT Volatility, OAT History as well as OAT Performance. Please specify OAT time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like OAT odds to be computed.

OAT Target Price Odds to finish over 0.017

The tendency of OAT OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.017 90 days 0.017 
about 68.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OAT to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 68.94 (This OAT Inc probability density function shows the probability of OAT OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 1.2 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, OAT will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1106, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   OAT Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for OAT

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OAT Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of OAT's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of OAT in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.000.005.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.000.005.91
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as OAT. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against OAT's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, OAT's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in OAT Inc.

OAT Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OAT is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OAT's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OAT Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OAT within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.11
β
Beta against DOW1.20
σ
Overall volatility
0.001821
Ir
Information ratio 0.01775

OAT Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OAT for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OAT Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
OAT Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
OAT Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
OAT Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
OAT Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (1.36 M).
OAT Inc currently holds about 566 in cash with (287.34 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Latest headline from www.fool.co.uk: Will it soon be too late to buy cheap FTSE shares - Motley Fool UK

OAT Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of OAT OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential OAT's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OAT's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day7.63k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month4.53k

OAT Technical Analysis

OAT's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. OAT OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of OAT Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing OAT OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

OAT Predictive Forecast Models

OAT time-series forecasting models is one of many OAT's otc stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary OAT's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about OAT Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about OAT for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for OAT Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
OAT Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
OAT Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
OAT Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
OAT Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (1.36 M).
OAT Inc currently holds about 566 in cash with (287.34 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Latest headline from www.fool.co.uk: Will it soon be too late to buy cheap FTSE shares - Motley Fool UK
Please check OAT Backtesting, OAT Valuation, OAT Correlation, OAT Hype Analysis, OAT Volatility, OAT History as well as OAT Performance. You can also try Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running OAT Inc price analysis, check to measure OAT's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OAT is operating at the current time. Most of OAT's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OAT's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OAT's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OAT to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is OAT's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of OAT. If investors know OAT will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about OAT listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of OAT Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of OAT that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of OAT's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is OAT's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because OAT's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect OAT's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between OAT's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine OAT value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, OAT's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.