Optimum Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 11.32

OASGX
 Fund
  

USD 11.32  0.14  1.25%   

Optimum Small's future price is the expected price of Optimum Small instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Optimum Small Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please check Optimum Small Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Optimum Small Correlation, Optimum Small Hype Analysis, Optimum Small Volatility, Optimum Small History as well as Optimum Small Performance. Please specify Optimum Small time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Optimum Small odds to be computed.

Optimum Small Target Price Odds to finish over 11.32

The tendency of Optimum Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.32 90 days 11.32 
roughly 2.66
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Optimum Small to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.66 (This Optimum Small Cap probability density function shows the probability of Optimum Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Optimum Small has a beta of 0.24. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Optimum Small average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Optimum Small Cap will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0079, implying that it can generate a 0.007884 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Optimum Small Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Optimum Small

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Optimum Small Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Optimum Small's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Optimum Small in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
9.3011.3213.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
8.2110.2312.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.3211.3413.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.0011.2211.44
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Optimum Small. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Optimum Small's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Optimum Small's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Optimum Small Cap.

Optimum Small Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Optimum Small is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Optimum Small's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Optimum Small Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Optimum Small within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.007884
β
Beta against DOW0.24
σ
Overall volatility
0.45
Ir
Information ratio 0.007902

Optimum Small Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Optimum Small for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Optimum Small Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Optimum Small Cap is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund maintains 95.83% of its assets in stocks

Optimum Small Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Optimum Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Optimum Small's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Optimum Small's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.34
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield11.92%

Optimum Small Technical Analysis

Optimum Small's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Optimum Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Optimum Small Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Optimum Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Optimum Small Predictive Forecast Models

Optimum Small time-series forecasting models is one of many Optimum Small's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Optimum Small's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Optimum Small Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Optimum Small for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Optimum Small Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Optimum Small Alerts

Optimum Small Alerts and Suggestions

Optimum Small Cap is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund maintains 95.83% of its assets in stocks
Please check Optimum Small Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Optimum Small Correlation, Optimum Small Hype Analysis, Optimum Small Volatility, Optimum Small History as well as Optimum Small Performance. Note that the Optimum Small Cap information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Optimum Small's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Focused Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.

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When running Optimum Small Cap price analysis, check to measure Optimum Small's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Optimum Small is operating at the current time. Most of Optimum Small's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Optimum Small's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Optimum Small's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Optimum Small to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Optimum Small's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Optimum Small value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Optimum Small's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.