Oasis Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 121.93

OAS
 Stock
  

USD 145.53  1.01  0.69%   

Oasis Petroleum's future price is the expected price of Oasis Petroleum instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Oasis Petroleum performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Oasis Petroleum's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Oasis Petroleum. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Oasis Petroleum based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Oasis Petroleum over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $40.0 is a CALL option contract on Oasis Petroleum's common stock with a strick price of 40.0 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 77 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $60.0, and an ask price of $65.0. The implied volatility as of the 30th of September is 58.8802. View All Oasis options

Closest to current price Oasis long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please check Your Equity Center.Please specify Oasis Petroleum time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Oasis Petroleum odds to be computed.

Oasis Petroleum Target Price Odds to finish over 121.93

The tendency of Oasis Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 121.93  in 90 days
 145.53 90 days 121.93 
about 72.66
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oasis Petroleum to stay above $ 121.93  in 90 days from now is about 72.66 (This Oasis Petroleum probability density function shows the probability of Oasis Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oasis Petroleum price to stay between $ 121.93  and its current price of $145.53 at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.66 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Oasis Petroleum has a beta of -0.35. This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Oasis Petroleum are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Oasis Petroleum is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0232, implying that it can generate a 0.0232 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Oasis Petroleum Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Oasis Petroleum

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oasis Petroleum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oasis Petroleum's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Oasis Petroleum in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
140.38143.06145.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
133.65136.33160.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
156.24158.92161.60
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
107.00152.14174.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Oasis Petroleum. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Oasis Petroleum's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Oasis Petroleum's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Oasis Petroleum.

Oasis Petroleum Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oasis Petroleum is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oasis Petroleum's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oasis Petroleum, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oasis Petroleum within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.023186
β
Beta against DOW-0.35
σ
Overall volatility
20.94
Ir
Information ratio 0.037503

Oasis Petroleum Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oasis Petroleum for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oasis Petroleum can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oasis Petroleum is not currently marked as verified by its exchange. Report It!

Oasis Petroleum Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Oasis Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Oasis Petroleum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oasis Petroleum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out7.72%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.62
Short Percent Of Float8.66%
Float Shares18.22M
Shares Short Prior Month1.39M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day782.65k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month465.31k
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.52%

Oasis Petroleum Technical Analysis

Oasis Petroleum's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oasis Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oasis Petroleum. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oasis Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Oasis Petroleum Predictive Forecast Models

Oasis Petroleum time-series forecasting models is one of many Oasis Petroleum's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Oasis Petroleum's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Oasis Petroleum

Checking the ongoing alerts about Oasis Petroleum for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oasis Petroleum help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oasis Petroleum is not currently marked as verified by its exchange. Report It!
Please check Your Equity Center. Note that the Oasis Petroleum information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Oasis Petroleum's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.

Other Tools for Oasis Stock

When running Oasis Petroleum price analysis, check to measure Oasis Petroleum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oasis Petroleum is operating at the current time. Most of Oasis Petroleum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oasis Petroleum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oasis Petroleum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oasis Petroleum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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