Oakmark Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 29.72

OAKBX
 Fund
  

USD 30.88  0.73  2.31%   

Oakmark Equity's future price is the expected price of Oakmark Equity instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Oakmark Equity And performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please check Oakmark Equity Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Oakmark Equity Correlation, Oakmark Equity Hype Analysis, Oakmark Equity Volatility, Oakmark Equity History as well as Oakmark Equity Performance. Please specify Oakmark Equity time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Oakmark Equity odds to be computed.

Oakmark Equity Target Price Odds to finish below 29.72

The tendency of Oakmark Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 29.72  or more in 90 days
 30.88 90 days 29.72 
about 27.77
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oakmark Equity to drop to $ 29.72  or more in 90 days from now is about 27.77 (This Oakmark Equity And probability density function shows the probability of Oakmark Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oakmark Equity And price to stay between $ 29.72  and its current price of $30.88 at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.67 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Oakmark Equity has a beta of 0.84. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Oakmark Equity average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Oakmark Equity And will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0111, implying that it can generate a 0.0111 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Oakmark Equity Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Oakmark Equity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oakmark Equity And. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oakmark Equity's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Oakmark Equity in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
29.7430.8832.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
29.6130.7531.89
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Oakmark Equity. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Oakmark Equity's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Oakmark Equity's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Oakmark Equity And.

Oakmark Equity Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oakmark Equity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oakmark Equity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oakmark Equity And, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oakmark Equity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.011089
β
Beta against DOW0.84
σ
Overall volatility
0.93
Ir
Information ratio 0.002908

Oakmark Equity Technical Analysis

Oakmark Equity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oakmark Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oakmark Equity And. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oakmark Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Oakmark Equity Predictive Forecast Models

Oakmark Equity time-series forecasting models is one of many Oakmark Equity's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Oakmark Equity's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Oakmark Equity Investors Sentiment

The influence of Oakmark Equity's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Oakmark. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Oakmark Equity in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Oakmark Equity's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Oakmark Equity options trading.
Please check Oakmark Equity Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Oakmark Equity Correlation, Oakmark Equity Hype Analysis, Oakmark Equity Volatility, Oakmark Equity History as well as Oakmark Equity Performance. Note that the Oakmark Equity And information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Oakmark Equity's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

Complementary Tools for Oakmark Mutual Fund analysis

When running Oakmark Equity And price analysis, check to measure Oakmark Equity's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oakmark Equity is operating at the current time. Most of Oakmark Equity's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oakmark Equity's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oakmark Equity's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oakmark Equity to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Oakmark Equity's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Oakmark Equity value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oakmark Equity's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.