Oppenheimer Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 18.13

OAAYX
 Fund
  

USD 13.20  0.01  0.08%   

Oppenheimer Active's future price is the expected price of Oppenheimer Active instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Oppenheimer Active Allctn performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please check Oppenheimer Active Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Oppenheimer Active Correlation, Oppenheimer Active Hype Analysis, Oppenheimer Active Volatility, Oppenheimer Active History as well as Oppenheimer Active Performance. Please specify Oppenheimer Active time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Oppenheimer Active odds to be computed.

Oppenheimer Active Target Price Odds to finish over 18.13

The tendency of Oppenheimer Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 18.13  or more in 90 days
 13.20 90 days 18.13 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oppenheimer Active to move over $ 18.13  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Oppenheimer Active Allctn probability density function shows the probability of Oppenheimer Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oppenheimer Active Allctn price to stay between its current price of $ 13.20  and $ 18.13  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.98 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Oppenheimer Active has a beta of 0.79. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Oppenheimer Active average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Oppenheimer Active Allctn will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Oppenheimer Active Allctn is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Oppenheimer Active Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Oppenheimer Active

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oppenheimer Active Allctn. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oppenheimer Active's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Oppenheimer Active in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
12.0113.2014.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
11.8213.0114.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Oppenheimer Active. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Oppenheimer Active's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Oppenheimer Active's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Oppenheimer Active Allctn.

Oppenheimer Active Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oppenheimer Active is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oppenheimer Active's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oppenheimer Active Allctn, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oppenheimer Active within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.79
σ
Overall volatility
0.43
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Oppenheimer Active Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oppenheimer Active for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oppenheimer Active Allctn can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oppenheimer Active is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years

Oppenheimer Active Technical Analysis

Oppenheimer Active's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oppenheimer Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oppenheimer Active Allctn. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oppenheimer Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Oppenheimer Active Predictive Forecast Models

Oppenheimer Active time-series forecasting models is one of many Oppenheimer Active's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Oppenheimer Active's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Oppenheimer Active Allctn

Checking the ongoing alerts about Oppenheimer Active for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oppenheimer Active Allctn help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oppenheimer Active is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Please check Oppenheimer Active Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Oppenheimer Active Correlation, Oppenheimer Active Hype Analysis, Oppenheimer Active Volatility, Oppenheimer Active History as well as Oppenheimer Active Performance. You can also try Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Oppenheimer Active Allctn price analysis, check to measure Oppenheimer Active's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oppenheimer Active is operating at the current time. Most of Oppenheimer Active's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oppenheimer Active's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oppenheimer Active's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oppenheimer Active to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Oppenheimer Active's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Oppenheimer Active value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oppenheimer Active's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.