Invesco Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 10.80

OAACX
 Fund
  

USD 12.53  0.05  0.40%   

Invesco Oppenheimer's future price is the expected price of Invesco Oppenheimer instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Invesco Oppenheimer Portfolio performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please check Invesco Oppenheimer Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Invesco Oppenheimer Correlation, Invesco Oppenheimer Hype Analysis, Invesco Oppenheimer Volatility, Invesco Oppenheimer History as well as Invesco Oppenheimer Performance. Please specify Invesco Oppenheimer time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Invesco Oppenheimer odds to be computed.

Invesco Oppenheimer Target Price Odds to finish below 10.80

The tendency of Invesco Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 10.80  or more in 90 days
 12.53 90 days 10.80 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco Oppenheimer to drop to $ 10.80  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Invesco Oppenheimer Portfolio probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Invesco Oppenheimer price to stay between $ 10.80  and its current price of $12.53 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.41 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Invesco Oppenheimer has a beta of 0.0813. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Invesco Oppenheimer average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Invesco Oppenheimer Portfolio will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Invesco Oppenheimer is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Invesco Oppenheimer Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Invesco Oppenheimer

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco Oppenheimer. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco Oppenheimer's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Invesco Oppenheimer in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
11.4012.5313.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
11.3212.4513.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
11.3312.4613.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.5212.5612.60
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Invesco Oppenheimer. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Invesco Oppenheimer's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Invesco Oppenheimer's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Invesco Oppenheimer.

Invesco Oppenheimer Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco Oppenheimer is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco Oppenheimer's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco Oppenheimer Portfolio, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco Oppenheimer within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.02
β
Beta against DOW0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.35
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Invesco Oppenheimer Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco Oppenheimer for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco Oppenheimer can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Invesco Oppenheimer is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund maintains 80.76% of its assets in stocks

Invesco Oppenheimer Technical Analysis

Invesco Oppenheimer's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco Oppenheimer Portfolio. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Invesco Oppenheimer Predictive Forecast Models

Invesco Oppenheimer time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco Oppenheimer's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Invesco Oppenheimer's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Invesco Oppenheimer

Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco Oppenheimer for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invesco Oppenheimer help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Invesco Oppenheimer Alerts

Invesco Oppenheimer Alerts and Suggestions

Invesco Oppenheimer is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund maintains 80.76% of its assets in stocks
Please check Invesco Oppenheimer Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Invesco Oppenheimer Correlation, Invesco Oppenheimer Hype Analysis, Invesco Oppenheimer Volatility, Invesco Oppenheimer History as well as Invesco Oppenheimer Performance. Note that the Invesco Oppenheimer information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Invesco Oppenheimer's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

Complementary Tools for Invesco Mutual Fund analysis

When running Invesco Oppenheimer price analysis, check to measure Invesco Oppenheimer's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Invesco Oppenheimer is operating at the current time. Most of Invesco Oppenheimer's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Invesco Oppenheimer's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Invesco Oppenheimer's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Invesco Oppenheimer to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Go
Portfolio Rebalancing
Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets
Go
Portfolio Backtesting
Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios
Go
Portfolio Center
All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios
Go
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Go
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm
Go
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Go
Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco Oppenheimer's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Invesco Oppenheimer value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco Oppenheimer's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.