Nxp Semiconductors Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 161.24

NXPI
 Stock
  

USD 161.24  1.35  0.84%   

Nxp Semiconductors' future price is the expected price of Nxp Semiconductors instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nxp Semiconductors performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Nxp Semiconductors' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Nxp Semiconductors. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Nxp Semiconductors based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Nxp Semiconductors over a specific time period. For example, 2022-10-07 CALL at $160.0 is a CALL option contract on Nxp Semiconductors' common stock with a strick price of 160.0 expiring on 2022-10-07. The contract was last traded on 2022-10-03 at 15:03:56 for $0.9 and, as of today, has 2 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.6, and an ask price of $0.75. The implied volatility as of the 5th of October is 56.9797. View All Nxp Semiconductors options

Closest to current price Nxp Semiconductors long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Additionally, see Nxp Semiconductors Backtesting, Nxp Semiconductors Valuation, Nxp Semiconductors Correlation, Nxp Semiconductors Hype Analysis, Nxp Semiconductors Volatility, Nxp Semiconductors History as well as Nxp Semiconductors Performance. Please specify Nxp Semiconductors time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Nxp Semiconductors odds to be computed.

Nxp Semiconductors Target Price Odds to finish over 161.24

The tendency of Nxp Semiconductors Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 161.24 90 days 161.24 
about 68.6
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nxp Semiconductors to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 68.6 (This Nxp Semiconductors probability density function shows the probability of Nxp Semiconductors Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.7 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Nxp Semiconductors will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.23, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nxp Semiconductors Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nxp Semiconductors

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nxp Semiconductors. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nxp Semiconductors' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Nxp Semiconductors in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
158.34160.91163.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
144.31181.92184.49
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
140.00199.75225.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nxp Semiconductors. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nxp Semiconductors' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nxp Semiconductors' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Nxp Semiconductors.

Nxp Semiconductors Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nxp Semiconductors is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nxp Semiconductors' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nxp Semiconductors, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nxp Semiconductors within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.23
β
Beta against DOW1.70
σ
Overall volatility
12.28
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Nxp Semiconductors Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nxp Semiconductors for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nxp Semiconductors can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.barchart.com: Stocks End Sharply Higher on Hopes for a Less Aggressive Fed - Barchart

Nxp Semiconductors Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nxp Semiconductors Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nxp Semiconductors' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nxp Semiconductors' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.84%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.69
Short Percent Of Float1.84%
Float Shares262.12M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.06M
Shares Short Prior Month7.14M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.15M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.12%

Nxp Semiconductors Technical Analysis

Nxp Semiconductors' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nxp Semiconductors Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nxp Semiconductors. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nxp Semiconductors Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nxp Semiconductors Predictive Forecast Models

Nxp Semiconductors time-series forecasting models is one of many Nxp Semiconductors' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Nxp Semiconductors' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nxp Semiconductors

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nxp Semiconductors for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nxp Semiconductors help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.barchart.com: Stocks End Sharply Higher on Hopes for a Less Aggressive Fed - Barchart

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Is Nxp Semiconductors' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nxp Semiconductors. If investors know Nxp Semiconductors will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nxp Semiconductors listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Nxp Semiconductors is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nxp Semiconductors that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nxp Semiconductors' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nxp Semiconductors' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nxp Semiconductors' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nxp Semiconductors' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nxp Semiconductors' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Nxp Semiconductors value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nxp Semiconductors' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.