Newell Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.85

NWL
 Stock
  

USD 13.30  0.49  3.83%   

Newell Brands' future price is the expected price of Newell Brands instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Newell Brands performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Price to Book Value is expected to hike to 2.09 this year. Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to hike to 95.39 this year.
  
Newell Brands' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Newell Brands. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Newell Brands based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Newell Brands over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $13.0 is a CALL option contract on Newell Brands' common stock with a strick price of 13.0 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-12-07 at 15:57:51 for $0.2 and, as of today, has 8 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.2, and an ask price of $0.3. The implied volatility as of the 8th of December is 37.8468. View All Newell options

Closest to current price Newell long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Additionally, see Newell Brands Backtesting, Newell Brands Valuation, Newell Brands Correlation, Newell Brands Hype Analysis, Newell Brands Volatility, Newell Brands History as well as Newell Brands Performance. Please specify Newell Brands time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Newell Brands odds to be computed.

Newell Brands Target Price Odds to finish over 17.85

The tendency of Newell Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 17.85  or more in 90 days
 13.30 90 days 17.85 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Newell Brands to move over $ 17.85  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Newell Brands probability density function shows the probability of Newell Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Newell Brands price to stay between its current price of $ 13.30  and $ 17.85  at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.57 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.24 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Newell Brands will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Newell Brands is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Newell Brands Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Newell Brands

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Newell Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Newell Brands' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Newell Brands in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
10.5013.2015.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
11.8416.8419.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
10.0712.7615.46
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
25.0030.0035.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Newell Brands. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Newell Brands' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Newell Brands' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Newell Brands.

Newell Brands Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Newell Brands is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Newell Brands' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Newell Brands, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Newell Brands within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.47
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.24
σ
Overall volatility
1.41
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Newell Brands Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Newell Brands for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Newell Brands can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Newell Brands generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Newell Brands has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Premarket Movers GitLab Cl A, Mirati Therapeutics, Textron - Barrons

Newell Brands Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Newell Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Newell Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Newell Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding424100000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments440000000.00

Newell Brands Technical Analysis

Newell Brands' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Newell Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Newell Brands. In general, you should focus on analyzing Newell Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Newell Brands Predictive Forecast Models

Newell Brands time-series forecasting models is one of many Newell Brands' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Newell Brands' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Newell Brands

Checking the ongoing alerts about Newell Brands for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Newell Brands help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Newell Brands generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Newell Brands has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Premarket Movers GitLab Cl A, Mirati Therapeutics, Textron - Barrons
Additionally, see Newell Brands Backtesting, Newell Brands Valuation, Newell Brands Correlation, Newell Brands Hype Analysis, Newell Brands Volatility, Newell Brands History as well as Newell Brands Performance. You can also try Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Newell Brands price analysis, check to measure Newell Brands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Newell Brands is operating at the current time. Most of Newell Brands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Newell Brands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Newell Brands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Newell Brands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Newell Brands' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Newell Brands. If investors know Newell will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Newell Brands listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.84) 
Market Capitalization
5.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.19) 
Return On Assets
0.0422
Return On Equity
0.1443
The market value of Newell Brands is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Newell that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Newell Brands' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Newell Brands' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Newell Brands' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Newell Brands' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Newell Brands' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Newell Brands value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Newell Brands' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.