Nu Skin Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 46.01

NUS
 Stock
  

USD 44.95  1.01  2.20%   

Nu Skin's future price is the expected price of Nu Skin instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nu Skin Enterprises performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. As of 06/28/2022, Price to Book Value is likely to grow to 3.28. Also, Price to Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 19.46.
  
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Nu Skin's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Nu Skin Enterprises. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Nu Skin based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Nu Skin Enterprises over a specific time period. For example, 2022-07-15 CALL at $45.0 is a CALL option contract on Nu Skin's common stock with a strick price of 45.0 expiring on 2022-07-15. The contract was last traded on 2022-06-27 at 11:19:50 for $2.57 and, as of today, has 17 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.05, and an ask price of $2.3. The implied volatility as of the 28th of June is 41.5394. View All Nu Skin options

Closest to current price Nu Skin long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Additionally, see Nu Skin Backtesting, Nu Skin Valuation, Nu Skin Correlation, Nu Skin Hype Analysis, Nu Skin Volatility, Nu Skin History as well as Nu Skin Performance. Please specify Nu Skin time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Nu Skin odds to be computed.
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Nu Skin Target Price Odds to finish below 46.01

The tendency of Nu Skin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 46.01  after 90 days
 44.95 90 days 46.01  about 52.59
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nu Skin to stay under $ 46.01  after 90 days from now is about 52.59 (This Nu Skin Enterprises probability density function shows the probability of Nu Skin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nu Skin Enterprises price to stay between its current price of $ 44.95  and $ 46.01  at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.61 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Nu Skin has a beta of 1.0. This indicates Nu Skin Enterprises market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Nu Skin is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1693, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Nu Skin Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Nu Skin

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nu Skin Enterprises. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nu Skin's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Nu Skin in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
42.5444.9847.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
40.4648.8451.28
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
47.0052.0061.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.953.984.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nu Skin. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nu Skin's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nu Skin's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Nu Skin Enterprises.

Nu Skin Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nu Skin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nu Skin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nu Skin Enterprises, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nu Skin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.17
β
Beta against DOW1.00
σ
Overall volatility
2.10
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Nu Skin Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nu Skin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nu Skin Enterprises can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nu Skin Enterprises generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Nu Skin Enterprises has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Sale by Steven Lund of 2175 shares of Nu Skin

Nu Skin Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nu Skin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nu Skin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nu Skin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out8.19%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.51
Short Percent Of Float13.08%
Float Shares46.41M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day401.76k
Shares Short Prior Month3.2M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month599.72k
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield3.33%

Nu Skin Technical Analysis

Nu Skin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nu Skin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nu Skin Enterprises. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nu Skin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nu Skin Predictive Forecast Models

Nu Skin time-series forecasting models is one of many Nu Skin's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Nu Skin's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nu Skin Enterprises

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nu Skin for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nu Skin Enterprises help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Nu Skin Alerts

Nu Skin Alerts and Suggestions

Nu Skin Enterprises generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Nu Skin Enterprises has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Sale by Steven Lund of 2175 shares of Nu Skin
Additionally, see Nu Skin Backtesting, Nu Skin Valuation, Nu Skin Correlation, Nu Skin Hype Analysis, Nu Skin Volatility, Nu Skin History as well as Nu Skin Performance. Note that the Nu Skin Enterprises information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Nu Skin's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.

Complementary Tools for Nu Skin Stock analysis

When running Nu Skin Enterprises price analysis, check to measure Nu Skin's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nu Skin is operating at the current time. Most of Nu Skin's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nu Skin's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nu Skin's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nu Skin to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Nu Skin's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nu Skin. If investors know Nu Skin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nu Skin listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.16
Market Capitalization
2.3 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.11
Return On Assets
0.0916
Return On Equity
0.15
The market value of Nu Skin Enterprises is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nu Skin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nu Skin's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nu Skin's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nu Skin's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nu Skin's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nu Skin's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Nu Skin value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nu Skin's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.