Nike Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 139.08

NKE
 Stock
  

USD 110.50  2.41  2.13%   

Nike's future price is the expected price of Nike instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nike Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. As of June 28, 2022, Price to Book Value is expected to decline to 15.63. In addition to that, Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to decline to 41.07.
  
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Nike's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Nike Inc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Nike based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Nike Inc over a specific time period. For example, 2022-07-01 CALL at $110.0 is a CALL option contract on Nike's common stock with a strick price of 110.0 expiring on 2022-07-01. The contract was last traded on 2022-06-27 at 15:59:53 for $5.23 and, as of today, has 3 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $5.2, and an ask price of $5.3. The implied volatility as of the 28th of June is 108.0808. View All Nike options

Closest to current price Nike long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Additionally, see Nike Backtesting, Nike Valuation, Nike Correlation, Nike Hype Analysis, Nike Volatility, Nike History as well as Nike Performance. Please specify Nike time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Nike odds to be computed.
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Nike Target Price Odds to finish over 139.08

The tendency of Nike Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 139.08  or more in 90 days
 110.50 90 days 139.08  under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nike to move over $ 139.08  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Nike Inc probability density function shows the probability of Nike Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nike Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 110.50  and $ 139.08  at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.76 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.56 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Nike will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Nike Inc is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Nike Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Nike

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nike Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nike's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Nike in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
107.50110.28113.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
99.45137.63140.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
96.0098.78101.57
Details
22 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
140.00184.65202.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nike. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nike's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nike's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Nike Inc.

Nike Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nike is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nike's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nike Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nike within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.04
β
Beta against DOW1.56
σ
Overall volatility
10.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Nike Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nike for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nike Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nike Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.thestreet.com: Stock Market Today - 623 Dow Edges Higher Oil, Treasury Yields Retreat Amid Recession Risk - TheStreet

Nike Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nike Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nike's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nike's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.70%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.13
Short Percent Of Float1.11%
Float Shares1.25B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day5.95M
Shares Short Prior Month13.09M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month6.72M
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.04%

Nike Technical Analysis

Nike's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nike Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nike Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nike Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nike Predictive Forecast Models

Nike time-series forecasting models is one of many Nike's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Nike's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nike Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nike for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nike Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Nike Alerts

Nike Alerts and Suggestions

Nike Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.thestreet.com: Stock Market Today - 623 Dow Edges Higher Oil, Treasury Yields Retreat Amid Recession Risk - TheStreet
Additionally, see Nike Backtesting, Nike Valuation, Nike Correlation, Nike Hype Analysis, Nike Volatility, Nike History as well as Nike Performance. Note that the Nike Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Nike's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

Complementary Tools for Nike Stock analysis

When running Nike Inc price analysis, check to measure Nike's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nike is operating at the current time. Most of Nike's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nike's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nike's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nike to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Nike's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nike. If investors know Nike will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nike listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Nike Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nike that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nike's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nike's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nike's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nike's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nike's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Nike value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nike's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.