Natural Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.7

NHTC
 Stock
  

USD 5.01  0.36  6.70%   

Natural Hlth's future price is the expected price of Natural Hlth instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Natural Hlth Trd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Natural Hlth Price to Book Value is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Price to Book Value was at 0.97. The current year Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to grow to 77.24, whereas Price to Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 0.96.
  
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Natural Hlth's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Natural Hlth Trd. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Natural Hlth based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Natural Hlth Trd over a specific time period. For example, 2022-07-15 CALL at $5.0 is a CALL option contract on Natural Hlth's common stock with a strick price of 5.0 expiring on 2022-07-15. The contract was last traded on 2022-06-23 at 10:04:21 for $0.3 and, as of today, has 13 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.0, and an ask price of $0.5. The implied volatility as of the 2nd of July is 78.2964. View All Natural options

Closest to current price Natural long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Additionally, see Natural Hlth Backtesting, Natural Hlth Valuation, Natural Hlth Correlation, Natural Hlth Hype Analysis, Natural Hlth Volatility, Natural Hlth History as well as Natural Hlth Performance. Please specify Natural Hlth time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Natural Hlth odds to be computed.
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Natural Hlth Target Price Odds to finish below 6.7

The tendency of Natural Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 6.70  after 90 days
 5.01 90 days 6.70  about 59.3
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Natural Hlth to stay under $ 6.70  after 90 days from now is about 59.3 (This Natural Hlth Trd probability density function shows the probability of Natural Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Natural Hlth Trd price to stay between its current price of $ 5.01  and $ 6.70  at the end of the 90-day period is about 58.31 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Natural Hlth has a beta of 0.67. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Natural Hlth average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Natural Hlth Trd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Natural Hlth Trd is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Natural Hlth Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Natural Hlth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Natural Hlth Trd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Natural Hlth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Natural Hlth in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
2.374.927.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
1.564.116.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
2.975.538.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.385.626.87
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Natural Hlth. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Natural Hlth's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Natural Hlth's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Natural Hlth Trd.

Natural Hlth Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Natural Hlth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Natural Hlth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Natural Hlth Trd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Natural Hlth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.39
β
Beta against DOW0.67
σ
Overall volatility
0.67
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Natural Hlth Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Natural Hlth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Natural Hlth Trd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Natural Hlth Trd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 39.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from www.nature.com: Blood-based biomarkers of antidepressant response to ketamine and esketamine A systematic review and meta-analysis Molecular Psychiatry - Nature.com

Natural Hlth Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Natural Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Natural Hlth's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Natural Hlth's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.32%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.80
Short Percent Of Float0.53%
Float Shares5.92M
Shares Short Prior Month41.43k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day18.85k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month17.63k
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield14.68%

Natural Hlth Technical Analysis

Natural Hlth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Natural Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Natural Hlth Trd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Natural Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Natural Hlth Predictive Forecast Models

Natural Hlth time-series forecasting models is one of many Natural Hlth's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Natural Hlth's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Natural Hlth Trd

Checking the ongoing alerts about Natural Hlth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Natural Hlth Trd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Natural Hlth Alerts

Natural Hlth Alerts and Suggestions

Natural Hlth Trd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 39.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from www.nature.com: Blood-based biomarkers of antidepressant response to ketamine and esketamine A systematic review and meta-analysis Molecular Psychiatry - Nature.com
Additionally, see Natural Hlth Backtesting, Natural Hlth Valuation, Natural Hlth Correlation, Natural Hlth Hype Analysis, Natural Hlth Volatility, Natural Hlth History as well as Natural Hlth Performance. Note that the Natural Hlth Trd information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Natural Hlth's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

Complementary Tools for Natural Stock analysis

When running Natural Hlth Trd price analysis, check to measure Natural Hlth's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natural Hlth is operating at the current time. Most of Natural Hlth's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natural Hlth's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natural Hlth's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natural Hlth to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Natural Hlth's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Natural Hlth. If investors know Natural will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Natural Hlth listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.67
Market Capitalization
57.2 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.14
Return On Assets
0.0062
Return On Equity
0.0135
The market value of Natural Hlth Trd is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Natural that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Natural Hlth's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Natural Hlth's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Natural Hlth's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Natural Hlth's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Natural Hlth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Natural Hlth value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Natural Hlth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.