Flexshares Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 52.52

NFRA
 Etf
  

USD 47.76  1.32  2.69%   

Flexshares Global's future price is the expected price of Flexshares Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Flexshares Global Broad performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Flexshares Global's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Flexshares Global Broad. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Flexshares Global based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Flexshares Global Broad over a specific time period. For example, 2022-10-21 CALL at $46.0 is a CALL option contract on Flexshares Global's common stock with a strick price of 46.0 expiring on 2022-10-21. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 26 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.5, and an ask price of $4.6. The implied volatility as of the 25th of September is 30.1107. View All Flexshares options

Closest to current price Flexshares long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Additionally, see Flexshares Global Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Flexshares Global Correlation, Flexshares Global Hype Analysis, Flexshares Global Volatility, Flexshares Global History as well as Flexshares Global Performance. Please specify Flexshares Global time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Flexshares Global odds to be computed.

Flexshares Global Target Price Odds to finish below 52.52

The tendency of Flexshares Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 52.52  after 90 days
 47.76 90 days 52.52 
about 54.88
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Flexshares Global to stay under $ 52.52  after 90 days from now is about 54.88 (This Flexshares Global Broad probability density function shows the probability of Flexshares Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Flexshares Global Broad price to stay between its current price of $ 47.76  and $ 52.52  at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.13 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Flexshares Global has a beta of 0.8. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Flexshares Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Flexshares Global Broad will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Flexshares Global Broad is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Flexshares Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Flexshares Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flexshares Global Broad. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Flexshares Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Flexshares Global in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
46.7547.7648.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
47.6848.6949.70
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Flexshares Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Flexshares Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Flexshares Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Flexshares Global Broad.

Flexshares Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Flexshares Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Flexshares Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Flexshares Global Broad, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Flexshares Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.06
β
Beta against DOW0.80
σ
Overall volatility
1.51
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Flexshares Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Flexshares Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Flexshares Global Broad can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Flexshares Global generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
On 22nd of September 2022 Flexshares Global paid $ 0.2883 per share dividend to its current shareholders
The fund maintains 99.46% of its assets in stocks

Flexshares Global Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Flexshares Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Flexshares Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Flexshares Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day169.77k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month158.86k

Flexshares Global Technical Analysis

Flexshares Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Flexshares Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Flexshares Global Broad. In general, you should focus on analyzing Flexshares Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Flexshares Global Predictive Forecast Models

Flexshares Global time-series forecasting models is one of many Flexshares Global's etf analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Flexshares Global's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Flexshares Global Broad

Checking the ongoing alerts about Flexshares Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Flexshares Global Broad help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Flexshares Global Alerts

Flexshares Global Alerts and Suggestions

Flexshares Global generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
On 22nd of September 2022 Flexshares Global paid $ 0.2883 per share dividend to its current shareholders
The fund maintains 99.46% of its assets in stocks

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When running Flexshares Global Broad price analysis, check to measure Flexshares Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Flexshares Global is operating at the current time. Most of Flexshares Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Flexshares Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Flexshares Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Flexshares Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Flexshares Global Broad is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Flexshares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Flexshares Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Flexshares Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Flexshares Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Flexshares Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Flexshares Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Flexshares Global value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Flexshares Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.