Manitowoc Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.12

MTW
 Stock
  

USD 8.12  0.12  1.46%   

Manitowoc's future price is the expected price of Manitowoc instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Manitowoc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Manitowoc's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Manitowoc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Manitowoc based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Manitowoc over a specific time period. For example, 2022-10-21 CALL at $8.0 is a CALL option contract on Manitowoc's common stock with a strick price of 8.0 expiring on 2022-10-21. The contract was last traded on 2022-09-23 at 15:36:43 for $0.65 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.55, and an ask price of $0.7. The implied volatility as of the 29th of September is 61.3543. View All Manitowoc options

Closest to current price Manitowoc long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Additionally, see Manitowoc Backtesting, Manitowoc Valuation, Manitowoc Correlation, Manitowoc Hype Analysis, Manitowoc Volatility, Manitowoc History as well as Manitowoc Performance. Please specify Manitowoc time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Manitowoc odds to be computed.

Manitowoc Target Price Odds to finish over 8.12

The tendency of Manitowoc Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 8.12 90 days 8.12 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Manitowoc to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Manitowoc probability density function shows the probability of Manitowoc Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.33 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Manitowoc will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Manitowoc is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Manitowoc Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Manitowoc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Manitowoc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Manitowoc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Manitowoc in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
5.738.2610.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
7.4212.6415.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
5.027.5510.08
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
16.0025.0031.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Manitowoc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Manitowoc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Manitowoc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Manitowoc.

Manitowoc Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Manitowoc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Manitowoc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Manitowoc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Manitowoc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.32
β
Beta against DOW1.33
σ
Overall volatility
0.93
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Manitowoc Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Manitowoc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Manitowoc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Manitowoc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: In the wake of The Manitowoc Company, Inc.s latest US37m market cap drop, institutional owners may be forced to take severe actions - Simply Wall St

Manitowoc Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Manitowoc Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Manitowoc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Manitowoc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.39%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.08
Short Percent Of Float2.70%
Float Shares34.43M
Shares Short Prior Month980.43k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day219.6k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month313.37k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.99%

Manitowoc Technical Analysis

Manitowoc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Manitowoc Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Manitowoc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Manitowoc Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Manitowoc Predictive Forecast Models

Manitowoc time-series forecasting models is one of many Manitowoc's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Manitowoc's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Manitowoc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Manitowoc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Manitowoc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Manitowoc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: In the wake of The Manitowoc Company, Inc.s latest US37m market cap drop, institutional owners may be forced to take severe actions - Simply Wall St
Additionally, see Manitowoc Backtesting, Manitowoc Valuation, Manitowoc Correlation, Manitowoc Hype Analysis, Manitowoc Volatility, Manitowoc History as well as Manitowoc Performance. You can also try Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Manitowoc price analysis, check to measure Manitowoc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Manitowoc is operating at the current time. Most of Manitowoc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Manitowoc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Manitowoc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Manitowoc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Manitowoc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Manitowoc. If investors know Manitowoc will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Manitowoc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Manitowoc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Manitowoc that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Manitowoc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Manitowoc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Manitowoc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Manitowoc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Manitowoc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Manitowoc value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Manitowoc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.