Mogu Inc Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.32

MOGU -  USA Stock  

USD 0.32  0.02  5.88%

Mogu Inc's future price is the expected price of Mogu Inc instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mogu Inc ADR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Price to Book Value is likely to gain to 0.83 in 2022, whereas Price to Earnings Ratio are likely to drop (4.13)  in 2022.

Mogu Inc Price Probability 

 
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Additionally, see Mogu Inc Backtesting, Mogu Inc Valuation, Mogu Inc Correlation, Mogu Inc Hype Analysis, Mogu Inc Volatility, Mogu Inc History as well as Mogu Inc Performance. Please specify Mogu Inc time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Mogu Inc odds to be computed.
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Mogu Inc Target Price Odds to finish over 0.32

The tendency of Mogu Inc Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.32 90 days 0.32  about 89.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mogu Inc to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 89.08 (This Mogu Inc ADR probability density function shows the probability of Mogu Inc Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.24 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Mogu Inc will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Mogu Inc ADR is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Mogu Inc Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Mogu Inc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mogu Inc ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mogu Inc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Mogu Inc in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.020.355.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.040.845.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0055240.285.21
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
2.402.402.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mogu Inc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mogu Inc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mogu Inc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Mogu Inc ADR.

Mogu Inc Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mogu Inc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mogu Inc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mogu Inc ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mogu Inc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-1.58
β
Beta against DOW1.24
σ
Overall volatility
0.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.32

Mogu Inc Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mogu Inc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mogu Inc ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mogu Inc ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mogu Inc ADR has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Mogu Inc ADR has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Mogu Inc ADR has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 406.88 M. Net Loss for the year was (557.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 299.28 M.
Mogu Inc ADR currently holds about 615.5 M in cash with (111.48 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.11, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Mogu Inc ADR has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from www.investorsobserver.com: Does Overstock.com Inc Have What it Takes to be in Your Portfolio Thursday - InvestorsObserver

Mogu Inc Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mogu Inc Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mogu Inc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mogu Inc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.12%
Float Shares29.41M
Shares Short Prior Month50.47k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day329.98k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month276.7k
Date Short Interest15th of December 2021

Mogu Inc Technical Analysis

Mogu Inc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mogu Inc Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mogu Inc ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mogu Inc Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mogu Inc Predictive Forecast Models

Mogu Inc time-series forecasting models is one of many Mogu Inc's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Mogu Inc's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mogu Inc ADR

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mogu Inc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mogu Inc ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Mogu Inc Alerts

Mogu Inc Alerts and Suggestions

Mogu Inc ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mogu Inc ADR has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Mogu Inc ADR has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Mogu Inc ADR has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 406.88 M. Net Loss for the year was (557.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 299.28 M.
Mogu Inc ADR currently holds about 615.5 M in cash with (111.48 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.11, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Mogu Inc ADR has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from www.investorsobserver.com: Does Overstock.com Inc Have What it Takes to be in Your Portfolio Thursday - InvestorsObserver
Additionally, see Mogu Inc Backtesting, Mogu Inc Valuation, Mogu Inc Correlation, Mogu Inc Hype Analysis, Mogu Inc Volatility, Mogu Inc History as well as Mogu Inc Performance. Note that the Mogu Inc ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mogu Inc's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

Complementary Tools for Mogu Inc Stock analysis

When running Mogu Inc ADR price analysis, check to measure Mogu Inc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mogu Inc is operating at the current time. Most of Mogu Inc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mogu Inc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mogu Inc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mogu Inc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Mogu Inc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mogu Inc. If investors know Mogu Inc will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mogu Inc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Mogu Inc ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mogu Inc that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mogu Inc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mogu Inc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mogu Inc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mogu Inc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mogu Inc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Mogu Inc value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mogu Inc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.