Monster Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 89.02

MNST
 Stock
  

USD 103.48  0.11  0.11%   

Monster Beverage's future price is the expected price of Monster Beverage instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Monster Beverage Cp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Price to Book Value is likely to gain to 7.96 in 2022. Price to Earnings Ratio is likely to gain to 39.80 in 2022.
  
Monster Beverage's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Monster Beverage Cp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Monster Beverage based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Monster Beverage Cp over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-02 CALL at $103.0 is a CALL option contract on Monster Beverage's common stock with a strick price of 103.0 expiring on 2022-12-02. The contract was last traded on 2022-11-25 at 11:53:32 for $1.52 and, as of today, has 4 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.35, and an ask price of $1.5. The implied volatility as of the 28th of November is 22.6495. View All Monster options

Closest to current price Monster long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Additionally, see Monster Beverage Backtesting, Monster Beverage Valuation, Monster Beverage Correlation, Monster Beverage Hype Analysis, Monster Beverage Volatility, Monster Beverage History as well as Monster Beverage Performance. Please specify Monster Beverage time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Monster Beverage odds to be computed.

Monster Beverage Target Price Odds to finish below 89.02

The tendency of Monster Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 89.02  or more in 90 days
 103.48 90 days 89.02 
about 26.33
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Monster Beverage to drop to $ 89.02  or more in 90 days from now is about 26.33 (This Monster Beverage Cp probability density function shows the probability of Monster Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Monster Beverage price to stay between $ 89.02  and its current price of $103.48 at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.83 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Monster Beverage has a beta of 0.89. This indicates Monster Beverage Cp market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Monster Beverage is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1528, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Monster Beverage Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Monster Beverage

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Monster Beverage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Monster Beverage's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Monster Beverage in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
101.89103.65105.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
93.03110.98112.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
102.48104.25106.01
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
92.00104.64115.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Monster Beverage. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Monster Beverage's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Monster Beverage's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Monster Beverage.

Monster Beverage Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Monster Beverage is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Monster Beverage's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Monster Beverage Cp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Monster Beverage within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.15
β
Beta against DOW0.89
σ
Overall volatility
4.64
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Monster Beverage Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Monster Beverage for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Monster Beverage can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Monster Beverage has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Mark Vidergauz of 1987 shares of Monster Beverage subject to Rule 16b-3

Monster Beverage Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Monster Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Monster Beverage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Monster Beverage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Last Dividend Date8th of November 1990
Shares Percent Shares Out1.01%
Short Percent Of Float1.45%
Float Shares370.87M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.42M
Shares Short Prior Month6.99M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.53M
Date Short Interest31st of October 2022

Monster Beverage Technical Analysis

Monster Beverage's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Monster Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Monster Beverage Cp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Monster Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Monster Beverage Predictive Forecast Models

Monster Beverage time-series forecasting models is one of many Monster Beverage's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Monster Beverage's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Monster Beverage

Checking the ongoing alerts about Monster Beverage for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Monster Beverage help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Monster Beverage has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Mark Vidergauz of 1987 shares of Monster Beverage subject to Rule 16b-3
Additionally, see Monster Beverage Backtesting, Monster Beverage Valuation, Monster Beverage Correlation, Monster Beverage Hype Analysis, Monster Beverage Volatility, Monster Beverage History as well as Monster Beverage Performance. You can also try Analyst Recommendations module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Monster Beverage price analysis, check to measure Monster Beverage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Monster Beverage is operating at the current time. Most of Monster Beverage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Monster Beverage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Monster Beverage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Monster Beverage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Monster Beverage's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Monster Beverage. If investors know Monster will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Monster Beverage listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.048) 
Market Capitalization
53.9 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.15
Return On Assets
0.13
Return On Equity
0.19
The market value of Monster Beverage is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Monster that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Monster Beverage's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Monster Beverage's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Monster Beverage's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Monster Beverage's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Monster Beverage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Monster Beverage value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Monster Beverage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.