Maiden Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 27.47

MHNC
 Stock
  

USD 18.89  0.23  1.20%   

Maiden Holdings' future price is the expected price of Maiden Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Maiden Holdings North performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Additionally, see Maiden Holdings Backtesting, Maiden Holdings Valuation, Maiden Holdings Correlation, Maiden Holdings Hype Analysis, Maiden Holdings Volatility, Maiden Holdings History as well as Maiden Holdings Performance. Please specify Maiden Holdings time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Maiden Holdings odds to be computed.

Maiden Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 27.47

The tendency of Maiden Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 27.47  or more in 90 days
 18.89 90 days 27.47 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Maiden Holdings to move over $ 27.47  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Maiden Holdings North probability density function shows the probability of Maiden Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Maiden Holdings North price to stay between its current price of $ 18.89  and $ 27.47  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.15 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Maiden Holdings has a beta of 0.37. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Maiden Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Maiden Holdings North will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.122, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Maiden Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Maiden Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Maiden Holdings North. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Maiden Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Maiden Holdings in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
17.1018.8720.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
16.4618.2320.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Maiden Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Maiden Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Maiden Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Maiden Holdings North.

Maiden Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Maiden Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Maiden Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Maiden Holdings North, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Maiden Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.12
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.37
σ
Overall volatility
0.82
Ir
Information ratio 0.034112

Maiden Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Maiden Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Maiden Holdings North can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
On 1st of December 2022 Maiden Holdings paid $ 0.4844 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: It takes a lot to treat the little - The Week

Maiden Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Maiden Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Maiden Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Maiden Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Cash And Short Term Investments1777398.00
Short Long Term Debt Total37.00

Maiden Holdings Technical Analysis

Maiden Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Maiden Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Maiden Holdings North. In general, you should focus on analyzing Maiden Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Maiden Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

Maiden Holdings time-series forecasting models is one of many Maiden Holdings' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Maiden Holdings' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Maiden Holdings North

Checking the ongoing alerts about Maiden Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Maiden Holdings North help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
On 1st of December 2022 Maiden Holdings paid $ 0.4844 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: It takes a lot to treat the little - The Week
Additionally, see Maiden Holdings Backtesting, Maiden Holdings Valuation, Maiden Holdings Correlation, Maiden Holdings Hype Analysis, Maiden Holdings Volatility, Maiden Holdings History as well as Maiden Holdings Performance. You can also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Maiden Holdings North price analysis, check to measure Maiden Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Maiden Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Maiden Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Maiden Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Maiden Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Maiden Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Maiden Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Maiden Holdings. If investors know Maiden will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Maiden Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Maiden Holdings North is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Maiden that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Maiden Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Maiden Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Maiden Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Maiden Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Maiden Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Maiden Holdings value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Maiden Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.