MIQUEL Y (Spain) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.68

MCM
 Stock
  

EUR 11.68  0.18  1.57%   

MIQUEL Y's future price is the expected price of MIQUEL Y instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of MIQUEL Y COSTAS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Additionally, see MIQUEL Y Backtesting, MIQUEL Y Valuation, MIQUEL Y Correlation, MIQUEL Y Hype Analysis, MIQUEL Y Volatility, MIQUEL Y History as well as MIQUEL Y Performance. Please specify MIQUEL Y time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like MIQUEL Y odds to be computed.

MIQUEL Y Target Price Odds to finish over 11.68

The tendency of MIQUEL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.68 90 days 11.68 
about 84.52
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MIQUEL Y to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 84.52 (This MIQUEL Y COSTAS probability density function shows the probability of MIQUEL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MIQUEL Y COSTAS has a beta of -0.0813. This indicates as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding MIQUEL Y are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, MIQUEL Y COSTAS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. MIQUEL Y COSTAS is significantly underperforming DOW.
   MIQUEL Y Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MIQUEL Y

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MIQUEL Y COSTAS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of MIQUEL Y's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of MIQUEL Y in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
10.1811.6813.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
8.059.5512.85
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as MIQUEL Y. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against MIQUEL Y's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, MIQUEL Y's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in MIQUEL Y COSTAS.

MIQUEL Y Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MIQUEL Y is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MIQUEL Y's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MIQUEL Y COSTAS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MIQUEL Y within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.18
β
Beta against DOW-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.62
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

MIQUEL Y Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MIQUEL Y for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MIQUEL Y COSTAS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MIQUEL Y COSTAS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

MIQUEL Y Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MIQUEL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MIQUEL Y's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MIQUEL Y's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.19
Float Shares15.41M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day7.58k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month10.38k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.68%

MIQUEL Y Technical Analysis

MIQUEL Y's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MIQUEL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MIQUEL Y COSTAS. In general, you should focus on analyzing MIQUEL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

MIQUEL Y Predictive Forecast Models

MIQUEL Y time-series forecasting models is one of many MIQUEL Y's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary MIQUEL Y's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about MIQUEL Y COSTAS

Checking the ongoing alerts about MIQUEL Y for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MIQUEL Y COSTAS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MIQUEL Y COSTAS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Additionally, see MIQUEL Y Backtesting, MIQUEL Y Valuation, MIQUEL Y Correlation, MIQUEL Y Hype Analysis, MIQUEL Y Volatility, MIQUEL Y History as well as MIQUEL Y Performance. You can also try Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

Other Tools for MIQUEL Stock

When running MIQUEL Y COSTAS price analysis, check to measure MIQUEL Y's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MIQUEL Y is operating at the current time. Most of MIQUEL Y's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MIQUEL Y's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MIQUEL Y's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MIQUEL Y to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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