Mcbc Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 26.09

MCFT
 Stock
  

USD 19.33  0.41  2.08%   

Mcbc Holdings' future price is the expected price of Mcbc Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mcbc Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Mcbc Holdings' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Mcbc Holdings. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Mcbc Holdings based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Mcbc Holdings over a specific time period. For example, 2022-10-21 CALL at $20.0 is a CALL option contract on Mcbc Holdings' common stock with a strick price of 20.0 expiring on 2022-10-21. The contract was last traded on 2022-09-26 at 12:56:19 for $0.55 and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.8, and an ask price of $1.0. The implied volatility as of the 29th of September is 51.8548. View All Mcbc Holdings options

Closest to current price Mcbc Holdings long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Additionally, see Mcbc Holdings Backtesting, Mcbc Holdings Valuation, Mcbc Holdings Correlation, Mcbc Holdings Hype Analysis, Mcbc Holdings Volatility, Mcbc Holdings History as well as Mcbc Holdings Performance. Please specify Mcbc Holdings time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Mcbc Holdings odds to be computed.

Mcbc Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 26.09

The tendency of Mcbc Holdings Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 26.09  or more in 90 days
 19.33 90 days 26.09 
about 6.71
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mcbc Holdings to move over $ 26.09  or more in 90 days from now is about 6.71 (This Mcbc Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Mcbc Holdings Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mcbc Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 19.33  and $ 26.09  at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.69 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Mcbc Holdings has a beta of 0.9. This indicates Mcbc Holdings market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Mcbc Holdings is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Mcbc Holdings is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Mcbc Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mcbc Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mcbc Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mcbc Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Mcbc Holdings in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
16.4019.2022.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
17.2624.1926.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
16.9619.7722.57
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
30.0037.5045.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mcbc Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mcbc Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mcbc Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Mcbc Holdings.

Mcbc Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mcbc Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mcbc Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mcbc Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mcbc Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.1
β
Beta against DOW0.90
σ
Overall volatility
2.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Mcbc Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mcbc Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mcbc Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mcbc Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Payment of 406 shares by May Patrick of Mcbc Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3

Mcbc Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mcbc Holdings Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mcbc Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mcbc Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out3.54%
Short Percent Of Float3.62%
Float Shares14.86M
Shares Short Prior Month741.5k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day177.75k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month112.96k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022

Mcbc Holdings Technical Analysis

Mcbc Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mcbc Holdings Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mcbc Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mcbc Holdings Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mcbc Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

Mcbc Holdings time-series forecasting models is one of many Mcbc Holdings' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Mcbc Holdings' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mcbc Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mcbc Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mcbc Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mcbc Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Payment of 406 shares by May Patrick of Mcbc Holdings subject to Rule 16b-3
Additionally, see Mcbc Holdings Backtesting, Mcbc Holdings Valuation, Mcbc Holdings Correlation, Mcbc Holdings Hype Analysis, Mcbc Holdings Volatility, Mcbc Holdings History as well as Mcbc Holdings Performance. Note that the Mcbc Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mcbc Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

Complementary Tools for Mcbc Holdings Stock analysis

When running Mcbc Holdings price analysis, check to measure Mcbc Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mcbc Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Mcbc Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mcbc Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mcbc Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mcbc Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Mcbc Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mcbc Holdings. If investors know Mcbc Holdings will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mcbc Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Mcbc Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mcbc Holdings that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mcbc Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mcbc Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mcbc Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mcbc Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mcbc Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Mcbc Holdings value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mcbc Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.