McDonalds Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 245.95

MCD
 Stock
  

USD 245.95  1.99  0.80%   

McDonalds Corp's future price is the expected price of McDonalds Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of McDonalds Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
McDonalds Corp's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on McDonalds Corp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of McDonalds Corp based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in McDonalds Corp over a specific time period. For example, 2022-09-30 CALL at $245.0 is a CALL option contract on McDonalds Corp's common stock with a strick price of 245.0 expiring on 2022-09-30. The contract was last traded on 2022-09-23 at 15:59:13 for $3.71 and, as of today, has 5 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $3.7, and an ask price of $3.95. The implied volatility as of the 25th of September is 25.5768. View All McDonalds options

Closest to current price McDonalds long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Additionally, see McDonalds Corp Backtesting, McDonalds Corp Valuation, McDonalds Corp Correlation, McDonalds Corp Hype Analysis, McDonalds Corp Volatility, McDonalds Corp History as well as McDonalds Corp Performance. Please specify McDonalds Corp time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like McDonalds Corp odds to be computed.

McDonalds Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 245.95

The tendency of McDonalds Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 245.95 90 days 245.95 
more than 94.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of McDonalds Corp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is more than 94.0 (This McDonalds Corp probability density function shows the probability of McDonalds Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon McDonalds Corp has a beta of 0.63. This indicates as returns on the market go up, McDonalds Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding McDonalds Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0523, implying that it can generate a 0.0523 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   McDonalds Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for McDonalds Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as McDonalds Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of McDonalds Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of McDonalds Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
244.87245.91246.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
221.36263.04264.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
241.03242.07243.11
Details
24 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
237.00275.29314.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as McDonalds Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against McDonalds Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, McDonalds Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in McDonalds Corp.

McDonalds Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. McDonalds Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the McDonalds Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold McDonalds Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of McDonalds Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.05
β
Beta against DOW0.63
σ
Overall volatility
5.87
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

McDonalds Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of McDonalds Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for McDonalds Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 16th of September 2022 McDonalds Corp paid $ 1.38 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investorplace.com: 7 Stocks to Buy That Can Soar in Good Times or in Bad - InvestorPlace

McDonalds Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of McDonalds Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential McDonalds Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. McDonalds Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Last Dividend Date31st of August 2022
Shares Percent Shares Out0.77%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate5.43
Short Percent Of Float0.77%
Float Shares734.69M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.52M
Shares Short Prior Month6.07M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.37M
Date Short Interest31st of August 2022

McDonalds Corp Technical Analysis

McDonalds Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. McDonalds Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of McDonalds Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing McDonalds Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

McDonalds Corp Predictive Forecast Models

McDonalds Corp time-series forecasting models is one of many McDonalds Corp's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary McDonalds Corp's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about McDonalds Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about McDonalds Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for McDonalds Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

McDonalds Corp Alerts

McDonalds Corp Alerts and Suggestions

About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 16th of September 2022 McDonalds Corp paid $ 1.38 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investorplace.com: 7 Stocks to Buy That Can Soar in Good Times or in Bad - InvestorPlace
Additionally, see McDonalds Corp Backtesting, McDonalds Corp Valuation, McDonalds Corp Correlation, McDonalds Corp Hype Analysis, McDonalds Corp Volatility, McDonalds Corp History as well as McDonalds Corp Performance. Note that the McDonalds Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other McDonalds Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.

Complementary Tools for McDonalds Stock analysis

When running McDonalds Corp price analysis, check to measure McDonalds Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy McDonalds Corp is operating at the current time. Most of McDonalds Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of McDonalds Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move McDonalds Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of McDonalds Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is McDonalds Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of McDonalds Corp. If investors know McDonalds will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about McDonalds Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of McDonalds Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of McDonalds that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of McDonalds Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is McDonalds Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because McDonalds Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect McDonalds Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between McDonalds Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine McDonalds Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, McDonalds Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.