Life Storage Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 109.81

LSI
 Stock
  

USD 114.17  1.37  1.19%   

Life Storage's future price is the expected price of Life Storage instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Life Storage performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Price to Book Value is estimated to decrease to 3.41. The current Price to Earnings Ratio is estimated to decrease to 45.22.
  
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Life Storage's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Life Storage. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Life Storage based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Life Storage over a specific time period. For example, 2022-07-15 CALL at $115.0 is a CALL option contract on Life Storage's common stock with a strick price of 115.0 expiring on 2022-07-15. The contract was last traded on 2022-07-05 at 12:51:48 for $1.1 and, as of today, has 9 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.95, and an ask price of $2.3. The implied volatility as of the 6th of July is 19.8259. View All Life Storage options

Closest to current price Life Storage long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Additionally, see Life Storage Backtesting, Life Storage Valuation, Life Storage Correlation, Life Storage Hype Analysis, Life Storage Volatility, Life Storage History as well as Life Storage Performance. Please specify Life Storage time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Life Storage odds to be computed.
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Life Storage Target Price Odds to finish below 109.81

The tendency of Life Storage Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 109.81  or more in 90 days
 114.17 90 days 109.81  about 18.09
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Life Storage to drop to $ 109.81  or more in 90 days from now is about 18.09 (This Life Storage probability density function shows the probability of Life Storage Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Life Storage price to stay between $ 109.81  and its current price of $114.17 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.54 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.19 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Life Storage will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Life Storage is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Life Storage Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Life Storage

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Life Storage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Life Storage's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Life Storage in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
111.26113.62115.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
102.75125.48127.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
119.02121.38123.74
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
94.00148.20186.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Life Storage. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Life Storage's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Life Storage's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Life Storage.

Life Storage Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Life Storage is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Life Storage's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Life Storage, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Life Storage within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.08
β
Beta against DOW1.19
σ
Overall volatility
15.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Life Storage Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Life Storage for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Life Storage can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Life Storage generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Life Storage was previously known as LIFE STORAGE INC and was traded on New York Stock Exchange under the symbol SSS.
Life Storage has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Purchase by Mark Barberio of 1000 shares of Life Storage

Life Storage Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Life Storage Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Life Storage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Life Storage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.28%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate3.08
Short Percent Of Float1.77%
Float Shares83.12M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day652.82k
Shares Short Prior Month734.59k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month612.75k
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.76%

Life Storage Technical Analysis

Life Storage's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Life Storage Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Life Storage. In general, you should focus on analyzing Life Storage Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Life Storage Predictive Forecast Models

Life Storage time-series forecasting models is one of many Life Storage's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Life Storage's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Life Storage

Checking the ongoing alerts about Life Storage for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Life Storage help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Life Storage Alerts

Life Storage Alerts and Suggestions

Life Storage generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Life Storage was previously known as LIFE STORAGE INC and was traded on New York Stock Exchange under the symbol SSS.
Life Storage has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Purchase by Mark Barberio of 1000 shares of Life Storage
Additionally, see Life Storage Backtesting, Life Storage Valuation, Life Storage Correlation, Life Storage Hype Analysis, Life Storage Volatility, Life Storage History as well as Life Storage Performance. Note that the Life Storage information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Life Storage's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.

Complementary Tools for Life Storage Stock analysis

When running Life Storage price analysis, check to measure Life Storage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Life Storage is operating at the current time. Most of Life Storage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Life Storage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Life Storage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Life Storage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Life Storage's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Life Storage. If investors know Life Storage will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Life Storage listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.4
Market Capitalization
9.7 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.36
Return On Assets
0.0398
Return On Equity
0.0892
The market value of Life Storage is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Life Storage that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Life Storage's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Life Storage's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Life Storage's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Life Storage's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Life Storage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Life Storage value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Life Storage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.