Lpl Financial Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 227.58

LPLA
 Stock
  

USD 227.58  3.86  1.73%   

Lpl Financial's future price is the expected price of Lpl Financial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lpl Financial Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. As of August 14, 2022, Price to Book Value is expected to decline to 6.97. In addition to that, Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to decline to 23.27.
  
Lpl Financial's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Lpl Financial Holdings. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Lpl Financial based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Lpl Financial Holdings over a specific time period. For example, 2022-08-19 CALL at $230.0 is a CALL option contract on Lpl Financial's common stock with a strick price of 230.0 expiring on 2022-08-19. The contract was last traded on 2022-08-12 at 13:12:46 for $2.2 and, as of today, has 6 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.1, and an ask price of $4.4. The implied volatility as of the 14th of August 2022 is 25.6015. View All Lpl Financial options

Closest to current price Lpl Financial long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Additionally, see Lpl Financial Backtesting, Lpl Financial Valuation, Lpl Financial Correlation, Lpl Financial Hype Analysis, Lpl Financial Volatility, Lpl Financial History as well as Lpl Financial Performance. Please specify Lpl Financial time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Lpl Financial odds to be computed.

Lpl Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 227.58

The tendency of Lpl Financial Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 227.58 90 days 227.58 
about 1.01
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lpl Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.01 (This Lpl Financial Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Lpl Financial Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.31 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Lpl Financial will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.3536, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Lpl Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lpl Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lpl Financial Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lpl Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Lpl Financial in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
227.44230.02232.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
225.24227.82230.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
224.52227.09229.67
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
184.00202.57228.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lpl Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lpl Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lpl Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Lpl Financial Holdings.

Lpl Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lpl Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lpl Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lpl Financial Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lpl Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.35
β
Beta against DOW1.31
σ
Overall volatility
15.49
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Lpl Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lpl Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lpl Financial Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 24th of June 2022 Lpl Financial paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from www.defenseworld.net: Advisor Group Holdings Inc. Grows Stake in iShares U.S. Transportation ETF - Defense World

Lpl Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lpl Financial Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lpl Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lpl Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out3.05%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.00
Short Percent Of Float3.42%
Float Shares79.31M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day966.51k
Shares Short Prior Month2.62M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month790.6k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.45%

Lpl Financial Technical Analysis

Lpl Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lpl Financial Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lpl Financial Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lpl Financial Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lpl Financial Predictive Forecast Models

Lpl Financial time-series forecasting models is one of many Lpl Financial's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Lpl Financial's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lpl Financial Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lpl Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lpl Financial Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Lpl Financial Alerts

Lpl Financial Alerts and Suggestions

Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 24th of June 2022 Lpl Financial paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from www.defenseworld.net: Advisor Group Holdings Inc. Grows Stake in iShares U.S. Transportation ETF - Defense World
Additionally, see Lpl Financial Backtesting, Lpl Financial Valuation, Lpl Financial Correlation, Lpl Financial Hype Analysis, Lpl Financial Volatility, Lpl Financial History as well as Lpl Financial Performance. Note that the Lpl Financial Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Lpl Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Fund Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.

Complementary Tools for Lpl Financial Stock analysis

When running Lpl Financial Holdings price analysis, check to measure Lpl Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lpl Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Lpl Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lpl Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lpl Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lpl Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Lpl Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lpl Financial. If investors know Lpl Financial will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lpl Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.35
Market Capitalization
18.2 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.074
Return On Assets
0.0699
Return On Equity
0.3
The market value of Lpl Financial Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lpl Financial that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lpl Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lpl Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lpl Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lpl Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lpl Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Lpl Financial value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lpl Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.