China Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.58

LFC
 Stock
  

USD 5.58  0.01  0.18%   

China Life's future price is the expected price of China Life instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of China Life Insurance performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
China Life's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on China Life Insurance. Implied volatility approximates the future value of China Life based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in China Life Insurance over a specific time period. For example, 2023-01-20 CALL at $5.0 is a CALL option contract on China Life's common stock with a strick price of 5.0 expiring on 2023-01-20. The contract was last traded on 2022-08-02 at 10:08:40 for $2.3 and, as of today, has 46 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.25, and an ask price of $2.95. The implied volatility as of the 5th of December is 50.5483. View All China options

Closest to current price China long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Additionally, see Correlation Analysis.Please specify China Life time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like China Life odds to be computed.

China Life Target Price Odds to finish over 5.58

The tendency of China Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5.58 90 days 5.58 
roughly 96.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of China Life to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This China Life Insurance probability density function shows the probability of China Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon China Life has a beta of 0.0048. This indicates as returns on the market go up, China Life average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding China Life Insurance will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. China Life Insurance is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   China Life Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for China Life

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Life Insurance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of China Life's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of China Life in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
5.585.585.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
5.026.946.94
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
11.8511.8511.85
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.401.531.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as China Life. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against China Life's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, China Life's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in China Life Insurance.

China Life Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. China Life is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the China Life's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold China Life Insurance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of China Life within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.37
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.0048
σ
Overall volatility
0.59
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

China Life Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of China Life for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for China Life Insurance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
China Life Insurance is not yet fully synchronised with the market data

China Life Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of China Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential China Life's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Life's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5652941000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments1489727000000.00

China Life Technical Analysis

China Life's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. China Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of China Life Insurance. In general, you should focus on analyzing China Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

China Life Predictive Forecast Models

China Life time-series forecasting models is one of many China Life's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary China Life's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about China Life Insurance

Checking the ongoing alerts about China Life for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for China Life Insurance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
China Life Insurance is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Additionally, see Correlation Analysis. Note that the China Life Insurance information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other China Life's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.

Complementary Tools for China Stock analysis

When running China Life Insurance price analysis, check to measure China Life's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Life is operating at the current time. Most of China Life's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Life's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Life's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Life to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Commodity Channel Index
Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum
Go
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Go
CEO Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Go
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Go
Commodity Channel Index
Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum
Go
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
Go
Analyst Recommendations
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Go
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Go
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Go
Probability Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Go
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets
Go
ETF Directory
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Go
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
Go
Is China Life's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of China Life. If investors know China will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about China Life listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.18) 
Market Capitalization
102.5 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.24) 
Return On Assets
0.006
Return On Equity
0.0763
The market value of China Life Insurance is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of China that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of China Life's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is China Life's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because China Life's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect China Life's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between China Life's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine China Life value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, China Life's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.