Lands Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.01

LE
 Stock
  

USD 11.52  0.59  5.40%   

Lands End's future price is the expected price of Lands End instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lands End performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. The current year Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to grow to 19.67, whereas Price to Book Value is forecasted to decline to 1.34.
  
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Lands End's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Lands End. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Lands End based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Lands End over a specific time period. For example, 2022-07-15 CALL at $12.5 is a CALL option contract on Lands End's common stock with a strick price of 12.5 expiring on 2022-07-15. The contract was last traded on 2022-06-24 at 14:30:27 for $0.42 and, as of today, has 19 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.25, and an ask price of $0.85. The implied volatility as of the 27th of June is 71.0142. View All Lands options

Closest to current price Lands long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Additionally, see Lands End Backtesting, Lands End Valuation, Lands End Correlation, Lands End Hype Analysis, Lands End Volatility, Lands End History as well as Lands End Performance. Please specify Lands End time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Lands End odds to be computed.
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Lands End Target Price Odds to finish over 11.01

The tendency of Lands Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 11.01  in 90 days
 11.52 90 days 11.01  about 85.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lands End to stay above $ 11.01  in 90 days from now is about 85.84 (This Lands End probability density function shows the probability of Lands Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lands End price to stay between $ 11.01  and its current price of $11.52 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.86 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.78 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Lands End will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Lands End is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Lands End Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Lands End

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lands End. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lands End's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Lands End in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
7.9312.0716.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
10.3717.3021.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
7.2611.4015.54
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
35.0035.0035.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lands End. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lands End's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lands End's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Lands End.

Lands End Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lands End is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lands End's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lands End, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lands End within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.35
β
Beta against DOW1.78
σ
Overall volatility
2.60
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Lands End Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lands End for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lands End can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lands End generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lands End has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from www.bloomberg.com: Bayer Rejected by US Supreme Court in Bid to End Roundup Suits - Bloomberg

Lands End Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lands Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lands End's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lands End's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out4.24%
Short Percent Of Float9.15%
Float Shares13.21M
Shares Short Prior Month1.05M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day292.74k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month234.55k
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022

Lands End Technical Analysis

Lands End's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lands Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lands End. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lands Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lands End Predictive Forecast Models

Lands End time-series forecasting models is one of many Lands End's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Lands End's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lands End

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lands End for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lands End help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Lands End Alerts

Lands End Alerts and Suggestions

Lands End generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lands End has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from www.bloomberg.com: Bayer Rejected by US Supreme Court in Bid to End Roundup Suits - Bloomberg
Additionally, see Lands End Backtesting, Lands End Valuation, Lands End Correlation, Lands End Hype Analysis, Lands End Volatility, Lands End History as well as Lands End Performance. Note that the Lands End information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Lands End's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

Complementary Tools for Lands Stock analysis

When running Lands End price analysis, check to measure Lands End's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lands End is operating at the current time. Most of Lands End's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lands End's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lands End's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lands End to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Lands End's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lands End. If investors know Lands will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lands End listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.65
Market Capitalization
384.9 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.055
Return On Assets
0.0421
Return On Equity
0.0738
The market value of Lands End is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lands that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lands End's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lands End's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lands End's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lands End's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lands End's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Lands End value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lands End's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.