Coca Cola Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 58.20

KO
 Stock
  

USD 63.61  1.13  1.81%   

Coca Cola's future price is the expected price of Coca Cola instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Coca-Cola performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to rise to 35.35 this year, although Price to Book Value will most likely fall to 10.89.
  
Coca Cola's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Coca-Cola. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Coca Cola based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Coca-Cola over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-02 CALL at $64.0 is a CALL option contract on Coca Cola's common stock with a strick price of 64.0 expiring on 2022-12-02. The contract was last traded on 2022-11-29 at 15:59:19 for $0.02 and, as of today, has 2 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.02, and an ask price of $0.03. The implied volatility as of the 30th of November is 19.8436. View All Coca Cola options

Closest to current price Coca Cola long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please see Coca Cola Backtesting, Coca Cola Valuation, Coca Cola Correlation, Coca Cola Hype Analysis, Coca Cola Volatility, Coca Cola History as well as Coca Cola Performance. Please specify Coca Cola time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Coca Cola odds to be computed.

Coca Cola Target Price Odds to finish over 58.20

The tendency of Coca Cola Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 58.20  in 90 days
 63.61 90 days 58.20 
about 64.65
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Coca Cola to stay above $ 58.20  in 90 days from now is about 64.65 (This Coca-Cola probability density function shows the probability of Coca Cola Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Coca-Cola price to stay between $ 58.20  and its current price of $63.61 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.96 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Coca Cola has a beta of 0.72. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Coca Cola average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Coca-Cola will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Coca-Cola is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Coca Cola Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Coca Cola

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coca-Cola. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Coca Cola's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Coca Cola in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
61.3062.5663.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
60.3361.5962.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
62.6363.8965.15
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
58.0062.6466.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Coca Cola. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Coca Cola's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Coca Cola's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Coca-Cola.

Coca Cola Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Coca Cola is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Coca Cola's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Coca-Cola, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Coca Cola within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.06
β
Beta against DOW0.72
σ
Overall volatility
2.50
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Coca Cola Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Coca Cola for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Coca-Cola can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 3rd of October 2022 Coca Cola paid $ 0.44 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: How Can I Buy Coca-Cola Stock - Yahoo Finance

Coca Cola Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Coca Cola Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Coca Cola's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Coca Cola's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Last Dividend Date15th of September 2022
Shares Percent Shares Out0.73%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.74
Short Percent Of Float0.74%
Float Shares3.9B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day12.63M
Shares Short Prior Month33.64M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month14.16M
Date Short Interest15th of November 2022

Coca Cola Technical Analysis

Coca Cola's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Coca Cola Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Coca-Cola. In general, you should focus on analyzing Coca Cola Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Coca Cola Predictive Forecast Models

Coca Cola time-series forecasting models is one of many Coca Cola's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Coca Cola's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Coca-Cola

Checking the ongoing alerts about Coca Cola for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Coca-Cola help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 3rd of October 2022 Coca Cola paid $ 0.44 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: How Can I Buy Coca-Cola Stock - Yahoo Finance
Please see Coca Cola Backtesting, Coca Cola Valuation, Coca Cola Correlation, Coca Cola Hype Analysis, Coca Cola Volatility, Coca Cola History as well as Coca Cola Performance. You can also try Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

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When running Coca-Cola price analysis, check to measure Coca Cola's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Coca Cola is operating at the current time. Most of Coca Cola's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Coca Cola's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Coca Cola's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Coca Cola to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Coca Cola's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Coca Cola. If investors know Coca Cola will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Coca Cola listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.14
Market Capitalization
270.2 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.1
Return On Assets
0.0836
Return On Equity
0.41
The market value of Coca-Cola is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Coca Cola that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Coca Cola's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Coca Cola's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Coca Cola's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Coca Cola's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Coca Cola's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Coca Cola value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Coca Cola's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.