Koninklijke OTC Pink Sheet Probability of Future OTC Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 2.97

KKPNY
 Stock
  

USD 2.97  0.03  1.00%   

Koninklijke KPN's future price is the expected price of Koninklijke KPN instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Koninklijke KPN NV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please see Koninklijke KPN Backtesting, Koninklijke KPN Valuation, Koninklijke KPN Correlation, Koninklijke KPN Hype Analysis, Koninklijke KPN Volatility, Koninklijke KPN History as well as Koninklijke KPN Performance. Please specify Koninklijke KPN time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Koninklijke KPN odds to be computed.

Koninklijke KPN Target Price Odds to finish over 2.97

The tendency of Koninklijke OTC Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.97 90 days 2.97 
about 21.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Koninklijke KPN to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 21.84 (This Koninklijke KPN NV probability density function shows the probability of Koninklijke OTC Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Koninklijke KPN has a beta of 0.77. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Koninklijke KPN average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Koninklijke KPN NV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Koninklijke KPN NV is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Koninklijke KPN Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Koninklijke KPN

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Koninklijke KPN NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Koninklijke KPN's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Koninklijke KPN in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
1.262.974.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
1.212.924.63
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Koninklijke KPN. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Koninklijke KPN's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Koninklijke KPN's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Koninklijke KPN NV.

Koninklijke KPN Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Koninklijke KPN is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Koninklijke KPN's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Koninklijke KPN NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Koninklijke KPN within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.14
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.77
σ
Overall volatility
0.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Koninklijke KPN Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Koninklijke KPN for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Koninklijke KPN NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Koninklijke KPN NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has accumulated 7.24 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.28, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Koninklijke KPN NV has a current ratio of 0.7, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Koninklijke KPN until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Koninklijke KPN's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Koninklijke KPN NV sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Koninklijke to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Koninklijke KPN's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Koninklijke KPN Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Koninklijke OTC Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Koninklijke KPN's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Koninklijke KPN's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.01%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.13
Float Shares3.28B
Shares Short Prior Month488.6k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day729.89k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month685.09k
Date Short Interest11th of December 2007
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield4.39%

Koninklijke KPN Technical Analysis

Koninklijke KPN's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Koninklijke OTC Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Koninklijke KPN NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Koninklijke OTC Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Koninklijke KPN Predictive Forecast Models

Koninklijke KPN time-series forecasting models is one of many Koninklijke KPN's otc pink sheet analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Koninklijke KPN's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Koninklijke KPN NV

Checking the ongoing alerts about Koninklijke KPN for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Koninklijke KPN NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Koninklijke KPN NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has accumulated 7.24 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.28, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Koninklijke KPN NV has a current ratio of 0.7, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Koninklijke KPN until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Koninklijke KPN's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Koninklijke KPN NV sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Koninklijke to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Koninklijke KPN's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Please see Koninklijke KPN Backtesting, Koninklijke KPN Valuation, Koninklijke KPN Correlation, Koninklijke KPN Hype Analysis, Koninklijke KPN Volatility, Koninklijke KPN History as well as Koninklijke KPN Performance. You can also try Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Koninklijke KPN NV price analysis, check to measure Koninklijke KPN's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Koninklijke KPN is operating at the current time. Most of Koninklijke KPN's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Koninklijke KPN's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Koninklijke KPN's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Koninklijke KPN to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Koninklijke KPN's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Koninklijke KPN value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Koninklijke KPN's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.