Johnson Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 165.30

JNJ
 Stock
  

USD 165.30  1.84  1.10%   

Johnson Johnson's future price is the expected price of Johnson Johnson instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Johnson Johnson performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. The current Price to Book Value is estimated to increase to 6.49. The current Price to Earnings Ratio is estimated to increase to 164.55.
  
Johnson Johnson's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Johnson Johnson. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Johnson Johnson based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Johnson Johnson over a specific time period. For example, 2022-08-12 CALL at $165.0 is a CALL option contract on Johnson Johnson's common stock with a strick price of 165.0 expiring on 2022-08-12. The contract was last traded on 2022-08-11 at 15:59:39 for $2.6 and, as of today, has 0 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.26, and an ask price of $2.6. The implied volatility as of the 13th of August 2022 is 36.0557. View All Johnson options

Closest to current price Johnson long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please see Johnson Johnson Backtesting, Johnson Johnson Valuation, Johnson Johnson Correlation, Johnson Johnson Hype Analysis, Johnson Johnson Volatility, Johnson Johnson History as well as Johnson Johnson Performance. Please specify Johnson Johnson time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Johnson Johnson odds to be computed.

Johnson Johnson Target Price Odds to finish over 165.30

The tendency of Johnson Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 165.30 90 days 165.30 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Johnson Johnson to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Johnson Johnson probability density function shows the probability of Johnson Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Johnson Johnson has a beta of 0.43. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Johnson Johnson average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Johnson Johnson will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Johnson Johnson is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Johnson Johnson Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Johnson Johnson

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Johnson Johnson. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Johnson Johnson's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Johnson Johnson in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
164.26165.36166.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
148.77180.06181.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
166.72167.82168.91
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
175.00190.56215.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Johnson Johnson. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Johnson Johnson's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Johnson Johnson's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Johnson Johnson.

Johnson Johnson Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Johnson Johnson is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Johnson Johnson's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Johnson Johnson, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Johnson Johnson within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.13
β
Beta against DOW0.43
σ
Overall volatility
3.74
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Johnson Johnson Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Johnson Johnson for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Johnson Johnson can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Johnson Johnson generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.thestreet.com: Johnson Johnson Stock Lower After Unveiling End To Global Baby Powder Sales In 2023 - TheStreet

Johnson Johnson Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Johnson Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Johnson Johnson's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Johnson Johnson's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.52%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate4.14
Short Percent Of Float0.52%
Float Shares2.63B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day5.29M
Shares Short Prior Month15.39M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month6.74M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.43%

Johnson Johnson Technical Analysis

Johnson Johnson's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Johnson Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Johnson Johnson. In general, you should focus on analyzing Johnson Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Johnson Johnson Predictive Forecast Models

Johnson Johnson time-series forecasting models is one of many Johnson Johnson's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Johnson Johnson's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Johnson Johnson

Checking the ongoing alerts about Johnson Johnson for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Johnson Johnson help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Johnson Johnson Alerts

Johnson Johnson Alerts and Suggestions

Johnson Johnson generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.thestreet.com: Johnson Johnson Stock Lower After Unveiling End To Global Baby Powder Sales In 2023 - TheStreet
Please see Johnson Johnson Backtesting, Johnson Johnson Valuation, Johnson Johnson Correlation, Johnson Johnson Hype Analysis, Johnson Johnson Volatility, Johnson Johnson History as well as Johnson Johnson Performance. Note that the Johnson Johnson information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Johnson Johnson's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Bond Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

Complementary Tools for Johnson Stock analysis

When running Johnson Johnson price analysis, check to measure Johnson Johnson's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Johnson Johnson is operating at the current time. Most of Johnson Johnson's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Johnson Johnson's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Johnson Johnson's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Johnson Johnson to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Probability Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Go
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm
Go
Portfolio Backtesting
Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios
Go
Technical Analysis
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data
Go
Shere Portfolio
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Go
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Go
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
Go
Fund Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges
Go
Theme Ratings
Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Go
Is Johnson Johnson's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Johnson Johnson. If investors know Johnson will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Johnson Johnson listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.23
Market Capitalization
448.7 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.03
Return On Assets
0.089
Return On Equity
0.25
The market value of Johnson Johnson is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Johnson that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Johnson Johnson's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Johnson Johnson's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Johnson Johnson's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Johnson Johnson's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Johnson Johnson's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Johnson Johnson value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Johnson Johnson's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.