Jd Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 51.25

JD
 Stock
  

USD 51.25  1.68  3.17%   

Jd Inc's future price is the expected price of Jd Inc instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jd Inc ADR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Jd Inc's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Jd Inc ADR. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Jd Inc based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Jd Inc ADR over a specific time period. For example, 2022-09-30 CALL at $51.0 is a CALL option contract on Jd Inc's common stock with a strick price of 51.0 expiring on 2022-09-30. The contract was last traded on 2022-09-29 at 15:59:03 for $0.86 and, as of today, has 0 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.83, and an ask price of $0.92. The implied volatility as of the 29th of September is 68.4941. View All Jd Inc options

Closest to current price Jd Inc long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please see Jd Inc Backtesting, Jd Inc Valuation, Jd Inc Correlation, Jd Inc Hype Analysis, Jd Inc Volatility, Jd Inc History as well as Jd Inc Performance. Please specify Jd Inc time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Jd Inc odds to be computed.

Jd Inc Target Price Odds to finish over 51.25

The tendency of Jd Inc Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 51.25 90 days 51.25 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jd Inc to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Jd Inc ADR probability density function shows the probability of Jd Inc Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Jd Inc has a beta of 0.81. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Jd Inc average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Jd Inc ADR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Jd Inc ADR is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Jd Inc Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jd Inc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jd Inc ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jd Inc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Jd Inc in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
48.1350.8953.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
46.1362.6565.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
46.8149.5752.33
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
62.0099.92122.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jd Inc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jd Inc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jd Inc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Jd Inc ADR.

Jd Inc Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jd Inc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jd Inc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jd Inc ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jd Inc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.25
β
Beta against DOW0.81
σ
Overall volatility
3.66
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Jd Inc Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jd Inc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jd Inc ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jd Inc ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company generated the yearly revenue of 988.07 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (10.17 B) with gross profit of 70.01 B.
Latest headline from www.jdsupra.com: Public Companies Time to Consider Repricing Underwater Stock Options - JD Supra

Jd Inc Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jd Inc Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jd Inc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jd Inc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.97%
Float Shares1.16B
Shares Short Prior Month21.52M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day5.78M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month6.67M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022

Jd Inc Technical Analysis

Jd Inc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jd Inc Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jd Inc ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jd Inc Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jd Inc Predictive Forecast Models

Jd Inc time-series forecasting models is one of many Jd Inc's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Jd Inc's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jd Inc ADR

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jd Inc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jd Inc ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jd Inc ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company generated the yearly revenue of 988.07 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (10.17 B) with gross profit of 70.01 B.
Latest headline from www.jdsupra.com: Public Companies Time to Consider Repricing Underwater Stock Options - JD Supra
Please see Jd Inc Backtesting, Jd Inc Valuation, Jd Inc Correlation, Jd Inc Hype Analysis, Jd Inc Volatility, Jd Inc History as well as Jd Inc Performance. Note that the Jd Inc ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Jd Inc's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.

Complementary Tools for Jd Inc Stock analysis

When running Jd Inc ADR price analysis, check to measure Jd Inc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jd Inc is operating at the current time. Most of Jd Inc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jd Inc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jd Inc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jd Inc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Jd Inc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jd Inc. If investors know Jd Inc will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Jd Inc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Jd Inc ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Jd Inc that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Jd Inc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Jd Inc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Jd Inc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Jd Inc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Jd Inc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Jd Inc value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jd Inc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.