Jacquet Metal (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0

JCQ
 Stock
  

EUR 16.48  0.04  0.24%   

Jacquet Metal's future price is the expected price of Jacquet Metal instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jacquet Metal Service performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please see Jacquet Metal Backtesting, Jacquet Metal Valuation, Jacquet Metal Correlation, Jacquet Metal Hype Analysis, Jacquet Metal Volatility, Jacquet Metal History as well as Jacquet Metal Performance. Please specify Jacquet Metal time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Jacquet Metal odds to be computed.

Jacquet Metal Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0

The tendency of Jacquet Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 0.00  in 90 days
 16.48 90 days 0.00 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jacquet Metal to stay above € 0.00  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Jacquet Metal Service probability density function shows the probability of Jacquet Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jacquet Metal Service price to stay between € 0.00  and its current price of €16.48 at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.52 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jacquet Metal has a beta of 0.23. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Jacquet Metal average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Jacquet Metal Service will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1065, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Jacquet Metal Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jacquet Metal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jacquet Metal Service. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jacquet Metal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Jacquet Metal in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
14.3416.6318.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
13.3915.6817.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
14.1916.4818.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.3216.2017.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jacquet Metal. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jacquet Metal's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jacquet Metal's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Jacquet Metal Service.

Jacquet Metal Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jacquet Metal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jacquet Metal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jacquet Metal Service, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jacquet Metal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.11
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.23
σ
Overall volatility
1.23
Ir
Information ratio 0.024741

Jacquet Metal Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jacquet Metal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jacquet Metal Service can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Jacquet Metal Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jacquet Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jacquet Metal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jacquet Metal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding23018286.00
Cash And Short Term Investments246000000.00

Jacquet Metal Technical Analysis

Jacquet Metal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jacquet Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jacquet Metal Service. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jacquet Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jacquet Metal Predictive Forecast Models

Jacquet Metal time-series forecasting models is one of many Jacquet Metal's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Jacquet Metal's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jacquet Metal Service

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jacquet Metal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jacquet Metal Service help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Please see Jacquet Metal Backtesting, Jacquet Metal Valuation, Jacquet Metal Correlation, Jacquet Metal Hype Analysis, Jacquet Metal Volatility, Jacquet Metal History as well as Jacquet Metal Performance. You can also try Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Jacquet Metal Service price analysis, check to measure Jacquet Metal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jacquet Metal is operating at the current time. Most of Jacquet Metal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jacquet Metal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jacquet Metal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jacquet Metal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Jacquet Metal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Jacquet Metal value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jacquet Metal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.