Irobot Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 74.0

IRBT
 Stock
  

USD 51.83  0.37  0.71%   

Irobot Corp's future price is the expected price of Irobot Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Irobot Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Irobot Corp Price to Book Value is comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Irobot Corp reported Price to Book Value of 2.48 in 2021. Price to Sales Ratio is likely to gain to 1.90 in 2022, whereas Price to Earnings Ratio are likely to drop 51.90 in 2022.
  
Irobot Corp's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Irobot Corp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Irobot Corp based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Irobot Corp over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-02 CALL at $52.0 is a CALL option contract on Irobot Corp's common stock with a strick price of 52.0 expiring on 2022-12-02. The contract was last traded on 0000-00-00 at 00:00:00 for $0.55 and, as of today, has 3 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.0, and an ask price of $5.0. The implied volatility as of the 29th of November is 33.2298. View All Irobot options

Closest to current price Irobot long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please see Irobot Corp Backtesting, Irobot Corp Valuation, Irobot Corp Correlation, Irobot Corp Hype Analysis, Irobot Corp Volatility, Irobot Corp History as well as Irobot Corp Performance. Please specify Irobot Corp time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Irobot Corp odds to be computed.

Irobot Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 74.0

The tendency of Irobot Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 74.00  or more in 90 days
 51.83 90 days 74.00 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Irobot Corp to move over $ 74.00  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Irobot Corp probability density function shows the probability of Irobot Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Irobot Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 51.83  and $ 74.00  at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Irobot Corp has a beta of 0.12. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Irobot Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Irobot Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Irobot Corp is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Irobot Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Irobot Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Irobot Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Irobot Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Irobot Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
51.0251.7752.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
46.6560.0160.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
51.8752.6253.37
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
74.0082.75100.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Irobot Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Irobot Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Irobot Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Irobot Corp.

Irobot Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Irobot Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Irobot Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Irobot Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Irobot Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.21
β
Beta against DOW0.12
σ
Overall volatility
2.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.31

Irobot Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Irobot Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Irobot Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Irobot Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Irobot Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.44 B. Net Loss for the year was (48.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 551.52 M.
Irobot Corp currently holds about 63.41 M in cash with (220.28 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.33.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: IROBOT CORP Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations - Marketscreener.com

Irobot Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Irobot Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Irobot Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Irobot Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out21.54%
Short Percent Of Float31.00%
Float Shares25.31M
Shares Short Prior Month6.45M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day491.27k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month685.16k
Date Short Interest14th of October 2022

Irobot Corp Technical Analysis

Irobot Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Irobot Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Irobot Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Irobot Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Irobot Corp Predictive Forecast Models

Irobot Corp time-series forecasting models is one of many Irobot Corp's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Irobot Corp's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Irobot Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Irobot Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Irobot Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Irobot Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Irobot Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.44 B. Net Loss for the year was (48.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 551.52 M.
Irobot Corp currently holds about 63.41 M in cash with (220.28 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.33.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: IROBOT CORP Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations - Marketscreener.com
Please see Irobot Corp Backtesting, Irobot Corp Valuation, Irobot Corp Correlation, Irobot Corp Hype Analysis, Irobot Corp Volatility, Irobot Corp History as well as Irobot Corp Performance. Note that the Irobot Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Irobot Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

Complementary Tools for Irobot Stock analysis

When running Irobot Corp price analysis, check to measure Irobot Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Irobot Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Irobot Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Irobot Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Irobot Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Irobot Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Irobot Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Irobot Corp. If investors know Irobot will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Irobot Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.37) 
Market Capitalization
1.4 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.37) 
Return On Assets
(0.10) 
Return On Equity
(0.36) 
The market value of Irobot Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Irobot that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Irobot Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Irobot Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Irobot Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Irobot Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Irobot Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Irobot Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Irobot Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.