Ingersoll Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 44.28

IR
 Stock
  

USD 43.33  2.37  5.79%   

Ingersoll Rand's future price is the expected price of Ingersoll Rand instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ingersoll Rand performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Ingersoll Rand Price to Book Value is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Ingersoll Rand reported last year Price to Book Value of 2.80. As of 06/26/2022, Price to Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 49.09, while Price to Sales Ratio is likely to drop 4.62.
  
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Ingersoll Rand's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Ingersoll Rand. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Ingersoll Rand based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Ingersoll Rand over a specific time period. For example, 2022-07-15 CALL at $45.0 is a CALL option contract on Ingersoll Rand's common stock with a strick price of 45.0 expiring on 2022-07-15. The contract was last traded on 2022-06-24 at 15:38:34 for $0.8 and, as of today, has 19 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.85, and an ask price of $0.95. The implied volatility as of the 26th of June is 37.5357. View All Ingersoll options

Closest to current price Ingersoll long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please see Ingersoll Rand Backtesting, Ingersoll Rand Valuation, Ingersoll Rand Correlation, Ingersoll Rand Hype Analysis, Ingersoll Rand Volatility, Ingersoll Rand History as well as Ingersoll Rand Performance. Please specify Ingersoll Rand time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Ingersoll Rand odds to be computed.
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Ingersoll Rand Target Price Odds to finish below 44.28

The tendency of Ingersoll Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 44.28  after 90 days
 43.33 90 days 44.28  about 23.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ingersoll Rand to stay under $ 44.28  after 90 days from now is about 23.4 (This Ingersoll Rand probability density function shows the probability of Ingersoll Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ingersoll Rand price to stay between its current price of $ 43.33  and $ 44.28  at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.32 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.33 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Ingersoll Rand will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Ingersoll Rand is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Ingersoll Rand Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Ingersoll Rand

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ingersoll Rand. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ingersoll Rand's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Ingersoll Rand in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
41.0443.4045.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
39.0054.1756.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
36.8239.1841.54
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
54.0063.7374.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ingersoll Rand. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ingersoll Rand's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ingersoll Rand's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Ingersoll Rand.

Ingersoll Rand Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ingersoll Rand is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ingersoll Rand's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ingersoll Rand, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ingersoll Rand within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.02
β
Beta against DOW1.33
σ
Overall volatility
2.72
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Ingersoll Rand Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ingersoll Rand for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ingersoll Rand can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ingersoll Rand generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ingersoll Rand was previously known as GARDNER DENVER INC and was traded on New York Stock Exchange under the symbol GDI.
Ingersoll Rand has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Ingersoll Rand Appoints Matthew Fort Vice President, Investor Relations and Global Financial Planning Analysis - Yahoo Finance

Ingersoll Rand Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ingersoll Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ingersoll Rand's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ingersoll Rand's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Last Dividend Date19th of May 2022
Shares Percent Shares Out1.54%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.04
Short Percent Of Float2.06%
Float Shares404.76M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.97M
Shares Short Prior Month7.09M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.86M
Date Short Interest31st of May 2022

Ingersoll Rand Technical Analysis

Ingersoll Rand's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ingersoll Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ingersoll Rand. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ingersoll Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ingersoll Rand Predictive Forecast Models

Ingersoll Rand time-series forecasting models is one of many Ingersoll Rand's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Ingersoll Rand's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ingersoll Rand

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ingersoll Rand for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ingersoll Rand help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Ingersoll Rand Alerts

Ingersoll Rand Alerts and Suggestions

Ingersoll Rand generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ingersoll Rand was previously known as GARDNER DENVER INC and was traded on New York Stock Exchange under the symbol GDI.
Ingersoll Rand has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Ingersoll Rand Appoints Matthew Fort Vice President, Investor Relations and Global Financial Planning Analysis - Yahoo Finance
Please see Ingersoll Rand Backtesting, Ingersoll Rand Valuation, Ingersoll Rand Correlation, Ingersoll Rand Hype Analysis, Ingersoll Rand Volatility, Ingersoll Rand History as well as Ingersoll Rand Performance. Note that the Ingersoll Rand information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Ingersoll Rand's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

Complementary Tools for Ingersoll Stock analysis

When running Ingersoll Rand price analysis, check to measure Ingersoll Rand's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ingersoll Rand is operating at the current time. Most of Ingersoll Rand's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ingersoll Rand's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ingersoll Rand's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ingersoll Rand to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Ingersoll Rand's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ingersoll Rand. If investors know Ingersoll will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ingersoll Rand listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
1.03
Market Capitalization
17.6 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.18
Return On Assets
0.0276
Return On Equity
0.0596
The market value of Ingersoll Rand is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ingersoll that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ingersoll Rand's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ingersoll Rand's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ingersoll Rand's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ingersoll Rand's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ingersoll Rand's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Ingersoll Rand value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ingersoll Rand's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.