Intuit Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 488.18

INTU
 Stock
  

USD 488.18  1.05  0.21%   

Intuit's future price is the expected price of Intuit instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Intuit Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Price to Book Value is likely to gain to 17.58 in 2022, whereas Price to Earnings Ratio are likely to drop 65.98 in 2022.
  
Intuit's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Intuit Inc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Intuit based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Intuit Inc over a specific time period. For example, 2022-08-19 CALL at $490.0 is a CALL option contract on Intuit's common stock with a strick price of 490.0 expiring on 2022-08-19. The contract was last traded on 2022-08-16 at 14:46:05 for $4.0 and, as of today, has 2 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $4.4, and an ask price of $6.2. The implied volatility as of the 17th of August 2022 is 34.6873. View All Intuit options

Closest to current price Intuit long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please see Intuit Backtesting, Intuit Valuation, Intuit Correlation, Intuit Hype Analysis, Intuit Volatility, Intuit History as well as Intuit Performance. Please specify Intuit time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Intuit odds to be computed.

Intuit Target Price Odds to finish over 488.18

The tendency of Intuit Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 488.18 90 days 488.18 
about 1.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intuit to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.72 (This Intuit Inc probability density function shows the probability of Intuit Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.85 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Intuit will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.3232, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Intuit Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Intuit

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intuit Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Intuit's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Intuit in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
439.36495.08497.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
439.36619.94622.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
496.99499.90502.80
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
407.00699.76850.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Intuit. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Intuit's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Intuit's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Intuit Inc.

Intuit Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intuit is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intuit's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intuit Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intuit within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.32
β
Beta against DOW1.85
σ
Overall volatility
37.50
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Intuit Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Intuit for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Intuit Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Intuit Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 18th of July 2022 Intuit paid $ 0.68 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: ACN to ABNB Top US services sector stocks to explore for long-term - Kalkine Media

Intuit Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intuit Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intuit's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intuit's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.91%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.45
Short Percent Of Float0.93%
Float Shares274.21M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.28M
Shares Short Prior Month2.51M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.75M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.50%

Intuit Technical Analysis

Intuit's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Intuit Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Intuit Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Intuit Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Intuit Predictive Forecast Models

Intuit time-series forecasting models is one of many Intuit's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Intuit's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Intuit Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Intuit for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Intuit Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Intuit Alerts

Intuit Alerts and Suggestions

Intuit Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 18th of July 2022 Intuit paid $ 0.68 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: ACN to ABNB Top US services sector stocks to explore for long-term - Kalkine Media
Please see Intuit Backtesting, Intuit Valuation, Intuit Correlation, Intuit Hype Analysis, Intuit Volatility, Intuit History as well as Intuit Performance. Note that the Intuit Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Intuit's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..

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When running Intuit Inc price analysis, check to measure Intuit's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intuit is operating at the current time. Most of Intuit's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intuit's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intuit's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intuit to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Intuit's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Intuit. If investors know Intuit will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Intuit listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.19
Market Capitalization
138 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.35
Return On Assets
0.0887
Return On Equity
0.19
The market value of Intuit Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Intuit that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Intuit's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Intuit's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Intuit's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Intuit's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Intuit's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Intuit value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Intuit's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.