Inspired Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.96

INSE
 Stock
  

USD 11.75  0.17  1.43%   

Inspired Entertainment's future price is the expected price of Inspired Entertainment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Inspired Entertainment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. As of November 28, 2022, Price to Book Value is expected to decline to -4.2. In addition to that, Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to decline to -8.74.
  
Inspired Entertainment's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Inspired Entertainment. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Inspired Entertainment based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Inspired Entertainment over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $10.0 is a CALL option contract on Inspired Entertainment's common stock with a strick price of 10.0 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-11-09 at 10:59:11 for $1.0 and, as of today, has 18 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.55, and an ask price of $2.3. The implied volatility as of the 28th of November is 70.9125. View All Inspired options

Closest to current price Inspired long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please see Inspired Entertainment Backtesting, Inspired Entertainment Valuation, Inspired Entertainment Correlation, Inspired Entertainment Hype Analysis, Inspired Entertainment Volatility, Inspired Entertainment History as well as Inspired Entertainment Performance. Please specify Inspired Entertainment time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Inspired Entertainment odds to be computed.

Inspired Entertainment Target Price Odds to finish below 5.96

The tendency of Inspired Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 5.96  or more in 90 days
 11.75 90 days 5.96 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Inspired Entertainment to drop to $ 5.96  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Inspired Entertainment probability density function shows the probability of Inspired Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Inspired Entertainment price to stay between $ 5.96  and its current price of $11.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.55 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.21 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Inspired Entertainment will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0235, implying that it can generate a 0.0235 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Inspired Entertainment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Inspired Entertainment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inspired Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Inspired Entertainment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Inspired Entertainment in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
8.6111.7014.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
10.6313.7216.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.0612.1515.24
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
18.0022.0030.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Inspired Entertainment. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Inspired Entertainment's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Inspired Entertainment's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Inspired Entertainment.

Inspired Entertainment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Inspired Entertainment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Inspired Entertainment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Inspired Entertainment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Inspired Entertainment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.023501
β
Beta against DOW1.21
σ
Overall volatility
1.05
Ir
Information ratio 0.011832

Inspired Entertainment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Inspired Entertainment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Inspired Entertainment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Inspired Entertainment has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Inspired Entertainment has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: JMP Securities Starts Inspired Entertainment at Market Outperform With 18 Price Target - Marketscreener.com

Inspired Entertainment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Inspired Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Inspired Entertainment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Inspired Entertainment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.87%
Short Percent Of Float2.30%
Float Shares17.34M
Shares Short Prior Month504.19k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day155.73k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month168.84k
Date Short Interest14th of October 2022

Inspired Entertainment Technical Analysis

Inspired Entertainment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Inspired Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Inspired Entertainment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Inspired Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Inspired Entertainment Predictive Forecast Models

Inspired Entertainment time-series forecasting models is one of many Inspired Entertainment's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Inspired Entertainment's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Inspired Entertainment

Checking the ongoing alerts about Inspired Entertainment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Inspired Entertainment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Inspired Entertainment has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Inspired Entertainment has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: JMP Securities Starts Inspired Entertainment at Market Outperform With 18 Price Target - Marketscreener.com
Please see Inspired Entertainment Backtesting, Inspired Entertainment Valuation, Inspired Entertainment Correlation, Inspired Entertainment Hype Analysis, Inspired Entertainment Volatility, Inspired Entertainment History as well as Inspired Entertainment Performance. You can also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Inspired Entertainment price analysis, check to measure Inspired Entertainment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Inspired Entertainment is operating at the current time. Most of Inspired Entertainment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Inspired Entertainment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Inspired Entertainment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Inspired Entertainment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Inspired Entertainment's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Inspired Entertainment. If investors know Inspired will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Inspired Entertainment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.17
Market Capitalization
303.9 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.035) 
Return On Assets
0.094
The market value of Inspired Entertainment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Inspired that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Inspired Entertainment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Inspired Entertainment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Inspired Entertainment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Inspired Entertainment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Inspired Entertainment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Inspired Entertainment value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Inspired Entertainment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.