ING Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.80

ING
 Stock
  

USD 11.80  0.06  0.51%   

ING Group's future price is the expected price of ING Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ING Group NV performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. The current year Price to Book Value is expected to grow to 0.96. The current year Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to grow to 7.02.
  
ING Group's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on ING Group NV. Implied volatility approximates the future value of ING Group based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in ING Group NV over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $12.0 is a CALL option contract on ING Group's common stock with a strick price of 12.0 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-12-06 at 11:56:31 for $0.16 and, as of today, has 9 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.1, and an ask price of $0.25. The implied volatility as of the 6th of December is 32.9698. View All ING Group options

Closest to current price ING Group long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please see ING Group Backtesting, ING Group Valuation, ING Group Correlation, ING Group Hype Analysis, ING Group Volatility, ING Group History as well as ING Group Performance. Please specify ING Group time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like ING Group odds to be computed.

ING Group Target Price Odds to finish over 11.80

The tendency of ING Group Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.80 90 days 11.80 
about 7.56
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ING Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.56 (This ING Group NV probability density function shows the probability of ING Group Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.12 . This usually indicates ING Group NV market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, ING Group is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.4287, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ING Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ING Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ING Group NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of ING Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of ING Group in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
9.2811.8714.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
11.1213.7116.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.2611.8414.43
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
18.2018.2018.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ING Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ING Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ING Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in ING Group NV.

ING Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ING Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ING Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ING Group NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ING Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.43
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.12
σ
Overall volatility
1.24
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

ING Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ING Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ING Group NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ING Group NV has about 259.31 B in cash with (14.94 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 68.96, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
ING Group NV has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: Progress on share buyback programme - Marketscreener.com

ING Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ING Group Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ING Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ING Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3890700000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments137804000000.00

ING Group Technical Analysis

ING Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ING Group Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ING Group NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing ING Group Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ING Group Predictive Forecast Models

ING Group time-series forecasting models is one of many ING Group's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary ING Group's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ING Group NV

Checking the ongoing alerts about ING Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ING Group NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ING Group NV has about 259.31 B in cash with (14.94 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 68.96, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
ING Group NV has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: Progress on share buyback programme - Marketscreener.com
Please see ING Group Backtesting, ING Group Valuation, ING Group Correlation, ING Group Hype Analysis, ING Group Volatility, ING Group History as well as ING Group Performance. You can also try Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.

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When running ING Group NV price analysis, check to measure ING Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ING Group is operating at the current time. Most of ING Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ING Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ING Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ING Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is ING Group's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ING Group. If investors know ING Group will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ING Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.25) 
Market Capitalization
43.5 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.12) 
Return On Assets
0.0035
Return On Equity
0.067
The market value of ING Group NV is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ING Group that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ING Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ING Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ING Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ING Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ING Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine ING Group value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ING Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.