Infosys Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 20.51

INFY
 Stock
  

USD 20.51  0.16  0.79%   

Infosys' future price is the expected price of Infosys instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Infosys Ltd ADR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Price to Book Value is likely to drop to 8.64 in 2022. Price to Earnings Ratio is likely to drop to 30.86 in 2022.
  
Infosys' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Infosys Ltd ADR. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Infosys based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Infosys Ltd ADR over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $21.0 is a CALL option contract on Infosys' common stock with a strick price of 21.0 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-11-30 at 15:48:16 for $0.15 and, as of today, has 15 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.15, and an ask price of $0.2. The implied volatility as of the 1st of December is 23.1358. View All Infosys options

Closest to current price Infosys long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please see Infosys Backtesting, Infosys Valuation, Infosys Correlation, Infosys Hype Analysis, Infosys Volatility, Infosys History as well as Infosys Performance. Please specify Infosys time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Infosys odds to be computed.

Infosys Target Price Odds to finish over 20.51

The tendency of Infosys Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 20.51 90 days 20.51 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Infosys to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Infosys Ltd ADR probability density function shows the probability of Infosys Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Infosys has a beta of 0.91. This usually indicates Infosys Ltd ADR market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Infosys is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1153, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Infosys Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Infosys

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Infosys Ltd ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Infosys' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Infosys in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
18.7620.5522.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
18.5123.9425.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
18.8320.6222.41
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
18.0026.4030.70
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Infosys. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Infosys' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Infosys' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Infosys Ltd ADR.

Infosys Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Infosys is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Infosys' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Infosys Ltd ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Infosys within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.12
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.91
σ
Overall volatility
1.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Infosys Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Infosys for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Infosys Ltd ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
On 14th of November 2022 Infosys paid $ 0.2013 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: HDFC twins, Infosys, Tech Mahindra, MM, SBI among top gainers losers as market ends higher - Business Today

Infosys Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Infosys Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Infosys' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Infosys' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4250732467.00
Cash And Short Term Investments3229000000.00

Infosys Technical Analysis

Infosys' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Infosys Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Infosys Ltd ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Infosys Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Infosys Predictive Forecast Models

Infosys time-series forecasting models is one of many Infosys' stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Infosys' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Infosys Ltd ADR

Checking the ongoing alerts about Infosys for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Infosys Ltd ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
On 14th of November 2022 Infosys paid $ 0.2013 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: HDFC twins, Infosys, Tech Mahindra, MM, SBI among top gainers losers as market ends higher - Business Today
Please see Infosys Backtesting, Infosys Valuation, Infosys Correlation, Infosys Hype Analysis, Infosys Volatility, Infosys History as well as Infosys Performance. Note that the Infosys Ltd ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Infosys' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Complementary Tools for Infosys Stock analysis

When running Infosys Ltd ADR price analysis, check to measure Infosys' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Infosys is operating at the current time. Most of Infosys' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Infosys' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Infosys' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Infosys to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Infosys' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Infosys. If investors know Infosys will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Infosys listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.049
Market Capitalization
84 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.14
Return On Assets
0.16
Return On Equity
0.31
The market value of Infosys Ltd ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Infosys that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Infosys' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Infosys' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Infosys' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Infosys' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Infosys' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Infosys value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Infosys' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.