Hewlett Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.29

HPE
 Stock
  

USD 16.29  0.11  0.68%   

Hewlett Packard's future price is the expected price of Hewlett Packard instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hewlett Packard Enterprise performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. The current year Price to Book Value is expected to grow to 0.88. The current year Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to grow to 5.16.
  
Hewlett Packard's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Hewlett Packard Enterprise. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Hewlett Packard based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Hewlett Packard Enterprise over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $16.0 is a CALL option contract on Hewlett Packard's common stock with a strick price of 16.0 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-12-07 at 15:50:41 for $0.32 and, as of today, has 8 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.3, and an ask price of $0.4. The implied volatility as of the 8th of December is 30.3698. View All Hewlett options

Closest to current price Hewlett long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please check Hewlett Packard Backtesting, Hewlett Packard Valuation, Hewlett Packard Correlation, Hewlett Packard Hype Analysis, Hewlett Packard Volatility, Hewlett Packard History as well as Hewlett Packard Performance. Please specify Hewlett Packard time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Hewlett Packard odds to be computed.

Hewlett Packard Target Price Odds to finish over 16.29

The tendency of Hewlett Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 16.29 90 days 16.29 
nearly 4.44
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hewlett Packard to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.44 (This Hewlett Packard Enterprise probability density function shows the probability of Hewlett Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.22 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Hewlett Packard will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.2447, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hewlett Packard Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hewlett Packard

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hewlett Packard Ente. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hewlett Packard's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Hewlett Packard in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
13.9616.1518.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
15.9918.1820.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
14.2016.3918.57
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
13.0018.3621.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hewlett Packard. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hewlett Packard's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hewlett Packard's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Hewlett Packard Ente.

Hewlett Packard Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hewlett Packard is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hewlett Packard's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hewlett Packard Enterprise, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hewlett Packard within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.24
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.22
σ
Overall volatility
1.41
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Hewlett Packard Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hewlett Packard for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hewlett Packard Ente can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has 7.85 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.68, which is OK given its current industry classification. Hewlett Packard Ente has a current ratio of 0.9, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Hewlett Packard until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Hewlett Packard's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Hewlett Packard Ente sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Hewlett to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Hewlett Packard's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 85.0% of Hewlett Packard shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Loop Capital Adjusts Hewlett Packard Enterprise Price Target to 17 From 14, Maintains Hold Rating - Marketscreener.com

Hewlett Packard Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hewlett Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hewlett Packard's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hewlett Packard's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1322000000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments4163000000.00

Hewlett Packard Technical Analysis

Hewlett Packard's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hewlett Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hewlett Packard Enterprise. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hewlett Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hewlett Packard Predictive Forecast Models

Hewlett Packard time-series forecasting models is one of many Hewlett Packard's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Hewlett Packard's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hewlett Packard Ente

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hewlett Packard for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hewlett Packard Ente help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has 7.85 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.68, which is OK given its current industry classification. Hewlett Packard Ente has a current ratio of 0.9, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Hewlett Packard until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Hewlett Packard's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Hewlett Packard Ente sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Hewlett to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Hewlett Packard's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 85.0% of Hewlett Packard shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Loop Capital Adjusts Hewlett Packard Enterprise Price Target to 17 From 14, Maintains Hold Rating - Marketscreener.com
Please check Hewlett Packard Backtesting, Hewlett Packard Valuation, Hewlett Packard Correlation, Hewlett Packard Hype Analysis, Hewlett Packard Volatility, Hewlett Packard History as well as Hewlett Packard Performance. You can also try Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Hewlett Packard Ente price analysis, check to measure Hewlett Packard's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hewlett Packard is operating at the current time. Most of Hewlett Packard's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hewlett Packard's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hewlett Packard's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hewlett Packard to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Hewlett Packard's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hewlett Packard. If investors know Hewlett will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hewlett Packard listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.069
Market Capitalization
20.8 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.07
Return On Assets
0.0262
Return On Equity
4.358
The market value of Hewlett Packard Ente is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hewlett that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hewlett Packard's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hewlett Packard's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hewlett Packard's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hewlett Packard's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hewlett Packard's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Hewlett Packard value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hewlett Packard's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.