Honda Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 24.17

HMC
 Stock
  

USD 24.17  0.43  1.75%   

Honda's future price is the expected price of Honda instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Honda Motor Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. The current year Price to Book Value is expected to grow to 0.67. The current year Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to grow to 9.65.
  
Honda's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Honda Motor Co. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Honda based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Honda Motor Co over a specific time period. For example, 2022-12-16 CALL at $25.0 is a CALL option contract on Honda's common stock with a strick price of 25.0 expiring on 2022-12-16. The contract was last traded on 2022-12-02 at 14:47:24 for $0.05 and, as of today, has 11 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.05, and an ask price of $0.15. The implied volatility as of the 5th of December is 16.2063. View All Honda options

Closest to current price Honda long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please check Honda Backtesting, Honda Valuation, Honda Correlation, Honda Hype Analysis, Honda Volatility, Honda History as well as Honda Performance. Please specify Honda time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Honda odds to be computed.

Honda Target Price Odds to finish over 24.17

The tendency of Honda Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 24.17 90 days 24.17 
about 25.34
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Honda to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 25.34 (This Honda Motor Co probability density function shows the probability of Honda Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Honda has a beta of 0.94. This usually indicates Honda Motor Co market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Honda is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Honda Motor is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Honda Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Honda

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Honda Motor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Honda's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Honda in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
22.5124.2025.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
21.7530.0631.75
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
35.2036.2337.25
Details
Earnings
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.413.433.45
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Honda. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Honda's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Honda's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Honda Motor.

Honda Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Honda is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Honda's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Honda Motor Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Honda within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.2
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.94
σ
Overall volatility
1.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Honda Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Honda for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Honda Motor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Honda Motor generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Honda Motor Unveils Next-generation Technologies of SENSING 360 and SENSING Elite - Marketscreener.com

Honda Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Honda Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Honda's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Honda's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1719961835.00
Cash And Short Term Investments3892674000000.00

Honda Technical Analysis

Honda's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Honda Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Honda Motor Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Honda Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Honda Predictive Forecast Models

Honda time-series forecasting models is one of many Honda's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Honda's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Honda Motor

Checking the ongoing alerts about Honda for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Honda Motor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Honda Motor generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Honda Motor Unveils Next-generation Technologies of SENSING 360 and SENSING Elite - Marketscreener.com
Please check Honda Backtesting, Honda Valuation, Honda Correlation, Honda Hype Analysis, Honda Volatility, Honda History as well as Honda Performance. You can also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Honda Motor price analysis, check to measure Honda's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Honda is operating at the current time. Most of Honda's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Honda's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Honda's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Honda to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Honda's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Honda. If investors know Honda will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Honda listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.15
Market Capitalization
41 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.25
Return On Assets
0.0231
Return On Equity
0.0666
The market value of Honda Motor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Honda that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Honda's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Honda's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Honda's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Honda's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Honda's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Honda value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Honda's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.