Helbiz Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.23

HLBZ
 Stock
  

USD 0.23  0.01  4.55%   

Helbiz's future price is the expected price of Helbiz instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Helbiz Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Please check Helbiz Backtesting, Helbiz Valuation, Helbiz Correlation, Helbiz Hype Analysis, Helbiz Volatility, Helbiz History as well as Helbiz Performance. Please specify Helbiz time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Helbiz odds to be computed.

Helbiz Target Price Odds to finish over 0.23

The tendency of Helbiz Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.23 90 days 0.23 
about 78.81
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Helbiz to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 78.81 (This Helbiz Inc probability density function shows the probability of Helbiz Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.77 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Helbiz will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Helbiz Inc is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Helbiz Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Helbiz

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Helbiz Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Helbiz's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Helbiz in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.010.2311.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.173.4214.25
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
13.0013.0013.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-1.24-1.24-1.24
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Helbiz. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Helbiz's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Helbiz's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Helbiz Inc.

Helbiz Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Helbiz is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Helbiz's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Helbiz Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Helbiz within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-1.26
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.77
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Helbiz Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Helbiz for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Helbiz Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Helbiz Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Helbiz Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Helbiz Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company currently holds 48.15 M in liabilities. Helbiz Inc has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Helbiz until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Helbiz's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Helbiz Inc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Helbiz to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Helbiz's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 12.83 M. Net Loss for the year was (72.46 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (21.01 M).
Helbiz Inc currently holds about 2.48 M in cash with (42.99 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05.
Roughly 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Helbiz Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Helbiz Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Helbiz's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Helbiz's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1905054.00
Cash And Short Term Investments21143.00

Helbiz Technical Analysis

Helbiz's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Helbiz Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Helbiz Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Helbiz Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Helbiz Predictive Forecast Models

Helbiz time-series forecasting models is one of many Helbiz's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Helbiz's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Helbiz Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Helbiz for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Helbiz Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Helbiz Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Helbiz Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Helbiz Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company currently holds 48.15 M in liabilities. Helbiz Inc has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Helbiz until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Helbiz's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Helbiz Inc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Helbiz to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Helbiz's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 12.83 M. Net Loss for the year was (72.46 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (21.01 M).
Helbiz Inc currently holds about 2.48 M in cash with (42.99 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05.
Roughly 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Please check Helbiz Backtesting, Helbiz Valuation, Helbiz Correlation, Helbiz Hype Analysis, Helbiz Volatility, Helbiz History as well as Helbiz Performance. Note that the Helbiz Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Helbiz's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.

Complementary Tools for Helbiz Stock analysis

When running Helbiz Inc price analysis, check to measure Helbiz's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Helbiz is operating at the current time. Most of Helbiz's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Helbiz's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Helbiz's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Helbiz to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Helbiz's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Helbiz. If investors know Helbiz will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Helbiz listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
21.7 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
(0.22) 
Return On Assets
(1.35) 
The market value of Helbiz Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Helbiz that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Helbiz's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Helbiz's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Helbiz's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Helbiz's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Helbiz's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Helbiz value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Helbiz's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.