Hdfc Bank Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 64.86

HDB -  USA Stock  

USD 53.80  1.16  2.20%

Hdfc Bank's future price is the expected price of Hdfc Bank instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hdfc Bank performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. As of May 21, 2022, Price to Book Value is expected to decline to 5.16. In addition to that, Price to Earnings Ratio is expected to decline to 35.71.
  
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Hdfc Bank's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Hdfc Bank. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Hdfc Bank based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Hdfc Bank over a specific time period. For example, 2022-06-17 CALL at $55.0 is a CALL option contract on Hdfc Bank's common stock with a strick price of 55.0 expiring on 2022-06-17. The contract was last traded on 2022-05-20 at 15:50:18 for $2.15 and, as of today, has 27 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.15, and an ask price of $1.7. The implied volatility as of the 21st of May is 33.0001. View All Hdfc Bank options

Closest to current price Hdfc Bank long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please check Hdfc Bank Backtesting, Hdfc Bank Valuation, Hdfc Bank Correlation, Hdfc Bank Hype Analysis, Hdfc Bank Volatility, Hdfc Bank History as well as Hdfc Bank Performance. Please specify Hdfc Bank time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Hdfc Bank odds to be computed.
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Hdfc Bank Target Price Odds to finish over 64.86

The tendency of Hdfc Bank Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 64.86  or more in 90 days
 53.80 90 days 64.86  about 6.67
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hdfc Bank to move over $ 64.86  or more in 90 days from now is about 6.67 (This Hdfc Bank probability density function shows the probability of Hdfc Bank Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hdfc Bank price to stay between its current price of $ 53.80  and $ 64.86  at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.17 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Hdfc Bank has a beta of 1.0. This usually indicates Hdfc Bank market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Hdfc Bank is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Hdfc Bank is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Hdfc Bank Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Hdfc Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hdfc Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hdfc Bank's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Hdfc Bank in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
50.8353.6356.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
48.4263.2466.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
49.9252.7255.52
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
90.0092.1094.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hdfc Bank. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hdfc Bank's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hdfc Bank's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Hdfc Bank.

Hdfc Bank Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hdfc Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hdfc Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hdfc Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hdfc Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.13
β
Beta against DOW1.00
σ
Overall volatility
4.37
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Hdfc Bank Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hdfc Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hdfc Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hdfc Bank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Hdfc Bank has about 1550 B in cash with (2360 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 139.87.
Latest headline from www.business-standard.com: HDFC Bank hits 52-week low slips 26 percent since merger announcement with HDFC - Business Standard

Hdfc Bank Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hdfc Bank Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hdfc Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hdfc Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.24%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate6.50
Float Shares9.3B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day2.4M
Shares Short Prior Month4.82M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.45M
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield12.26%

Hdfc Bank Technical Analysis

Hdfc Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hdfc Bank Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hdfc Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hdfc Bank Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hdfc Bank Predictive Forecast Models

Hdfc Bank time-series forecasting models is one of many Hdfc Bank's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Hdfc Bank's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hdfc Bank

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hdfc Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hdfc Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Hdfc Bank Alerts

Hdfc Bank Alerts and Suggestions

Hdfc Bank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Hdfc Bank has about 1550 B in cash with (2360 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 139.87.
Latest headline from www.business-standard.com: HDFC Bank hits 52-week low slips 26 percent since merger announcement with HDFC - Business Standard
Please check Hdfc Bank Backtesting, Hdfc Bank Valuation, Hdfc Bank Correlation, Hdfc Bank Hype Analysis, Hdfc Bank Volatility, Hdfc Bank History as well as Hdfc Bank Performance. Note that the Hdfc Bank information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Hdfc Bank's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Analyst Recommendations module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

Complementary Tools for Hdfc Bank Stock analysis

When running Hdfc Bank price analysis, check to measure Hdfc Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hdfc Bank is operating at the current time. Most of Hdfc Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hdfc Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hdfc Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hdfc Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Hdfc Bank's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hdfc Bank. If investors know Hdfc Bank will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hdfc Bank listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Hdfc Bank is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hdfc Bank that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hdfc Bank's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hdfc Bank's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hdfc Bank's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hdfc Bank's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hdfc Bank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Hdfc Bank value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hdfc Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.