Howard Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 25.6

HBMD -  USA Stock  

USD 23.30  0.00  0.00%

Howard Bancorp's future price is the expected price of Howard Bancorp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Howard Bancorp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. The current year Price to Book Value is expected to grow to 0.97, whereas Price to Earnings Ratio are forecasted to decline to (11.99) .
  
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Howard Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish over 25.6

The tendency of Howard Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 25.60  or more in 90 days
 23.30 90 days 25.60  near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Howard Bancorp to move over $ 25.60  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Howard Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Howard Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Howard Bancorp price to stay between its current price of $ 23.30  and $ 25.60  at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.07 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Howard Bancorp has a beta of 0.0245. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Howard Bancorp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Howard Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1484, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Howard Bancorp Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Howard Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Howard Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Howard Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Howard Bancorp in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
23.3023.3023.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
21.7921.7925.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
22.1322.1322.13
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
20.0024.0028.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Howard Bancorp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Howard Bancorp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Howard Bancorp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Howard Bancorp.

Howard Bancorp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Howard Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Howard Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Howard Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Howard Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.15
β
Beta against DOW0.0245
σ
Overall volatility
1.21
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Howard Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Howard Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Howard Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Howard Bancorp is not currently marked as verified by its exchange. Report It!

Howard Bancorp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Howard Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Howard Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Howard Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.77%
Short Percent Of Float1.36%
Float Shares14.13M
Shares Short Prior Month182.8k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day222.75k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month99.72k
Date Short Interest15th of December 2021

Howard Bancorp Technical Analysis

Howard Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Howard Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Howard Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Howard Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Howard Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models

Howard Bancorp time-series forecasting models is one of many Howard Bancorp's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Howard Bancorp's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Howard Bancorp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Howard Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Howard Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Howard Bancorp Alerts

Howard Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions

Howard Bancorp is not currently marked as verified by its exchange. Report It!
Please check Risk vs Return Analysis. Note that the Howard Bancorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Howard Bancorp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Other Tools for Howard Stock

When running Howard Bancorp price analysis, check to measure Howard Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Howard Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of Howard Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Howard Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Howard Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Howard Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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