Greensky Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.51

GSKY -  USA Stock  

USD 10.10  0.07  0.69%

Greensky Inc's future price is the expected price of Greensky Inc instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Greensky Inc Cl performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Price to Sales Ratio is likely to rise to 2.13 in 2022, whereas Price to Book Value is likely to drop (130.31)  in 2022.

Greensky Price Probability 

 
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Greensky Inc's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Greensky Inc Cl. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Greensky Inc based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Greensky Inc Cl over a specific time period. For example, 2022-02-18 CALL at $10.0 is a CALL option contract on Greensky Inc's common stock with a strick price of 10.0 expiring on 2022-02-18. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 22 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.1, and an ask price of $4.0. The implied volatility as of the 27th of January is 196.4112. View All Greensky options

Closest to current price Greensky long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Please check Greensky Inc Backtesting, Greensky Inc Valuation, Greensky Inc Correlation, Greensky Inc Hype Analysis, Greensky Inc Volatility, Greensky Inc History as well as Greensky Inc Performance. Please specify Greensky Inc time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Greensky Inc odds to be computed.
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Greensky Inc Target Price Odds to finish over 11.51

The tendency of Greensky Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 11.51  or more in 90 days
 10.10 90 days 11.51  under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Greensky Inc to move over $ 11.51  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Greensky Inc Cl probability density function shows the probability of Greensky Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Greensky Inc Cl price to stay between its current price of $ 10.10  and $ 11.51  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.34 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.22 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Greensky Inc will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0834, implying that it can generate a 0.0834 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Greensky Inc Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Greensky Inc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Greensky Inc Cl. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Greensky Inc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Greensky Inc in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
8.1210.0211.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
8.4510.3512.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
7.429.3111.21
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
8.0010.0012.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Greensky Inc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Greensky Inc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Greensky Inc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Greensky Inc Cl.

Greensky Inc Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Greensky Inc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Greensky Inc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Greensky Inc Cl, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Greensky Inc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.08
β
Beta against DOW1.22
σ
Overall volatility
2.68
Ir
Information ratio 0.019058

Greensky Inc Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Greensky Inc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Greensky Inc Cl can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Greensky Inc Cl has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Greensky Inc Cl has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Greensky Inc Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Greensky Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Greensky Inc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Greensky Inc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out3.22%
Short Percent Of Float3.44%
Float Shares80.3M
Shares Short Prior Month4.02M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day969.47k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.73M
Date Short Interest15th of December 2021

Greensky Inc Technical Analysis

Greensky Inc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Greensky Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Greensky Inc Cl. In general, you should focus on analyzing Greensky Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Greensky Inc Predictive Forecast Models

Greensky Inc time-series forecasting models is one of many Greensky Inc's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Greensky Inc's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Greensky Inc Cl

Checking the ongoing alerts about Greensky Inc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Greensky Inc Cl help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Greensky Inc Alerts

Greensky Inc Alerts and Suggestions

Greensky Inc Cl has very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Greensky Inc Cl has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Please check Greensky Inc Backtesting, Greensky Inc Valuation, Greensky Inc Correlation, Greensky Inc Hype Analysis, Greensky Inc Volatility, Greensky Inc History as well as Greensky Inc Performance. Note that the Greensky Inc Cl information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Greensky Inc's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

Complementary Tools for Greensky Stock analysis

When running Greensky Inc Cl price analysis, check to measure Greensky Inc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Greensky Inc is operating at the current time. Most of Greensky Inc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Greensky Inc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Greensky Inc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Greensky Inc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Greensky Inc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Greensky Inc. If investors know Greensky will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Greensky Inc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Greensky Inc Cl is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Greensky that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Greensky Inc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Greensky Inc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Greensky Inc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Greensky Inc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Greensky Inc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Greensky Inc value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Greensky Inc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.